Recent forecasts from models including GFS and agency guidance indicate clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and building high pressure over central Spain will drive strong daytime solar heating in Madrid on September 11. With minimal cloud cover and low humidity expected, surface temperatures should peak near 30–31 °C—well above the 27.5 °C climatological average—while overnight lows drop sharply. Ensemble consensus and the warming trend already observed from September 9–10 support this narrow range, though minor shifts in wind direction or residual moisture could trim the maximum by 1 °C or allow a brief push to 32 °C. Traders have priced these outcomes highest because official short-range guidance shows little spread around the 30–31 °C threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 11 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 11 septembre ?
31°C 52%
30°C 35%
32°C 19%
29°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
35%
31°C
52%
32°C
19%
33°C
16%
34°C
2%
35°C ou plus
1%
31°C 52%
30°C 35%
32°C 19%
29°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
5%
29°C
$9 Vol.
16%
30°C
$114 Vol.
35%
31°C
$229 Vol.
52%
32°C
$0 Vol.
19%
33°C
$0 Vol.
16%
34°C
$0 Vol.
2%
35°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and agency guidance indicate clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and building high pressure over central Spain will drive strong daytime solar heating in Madrid on September 11. With minimal cloud cover and low humidity expected, surface temperatures should peak near 30–31 °C—well above the 27.5 °C climatological average—while overnight lows drop sharply. Ensemble consensus and the warming trend already observed from September 9–10 support this narrow range, though minor shifts in wind direction or residual moisture could trim the maximum by 1 °C or allow a brief push to 32 °C. Traders have priced these outcomes highest because official short-range guidance shows little spread around the 30–31 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$352Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and agency guidance indicate clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and building high pressure over central Spain will drive strong daytime solar heating in Madrid on September 11. With minimal cloud cover and low humidity expected, surface temperatures should peak near 30–31 °C—well above the 27.5 °C climatological average—while overnight lows drop sharply. Ensemble consensus and the warming trend already observed from September 9–10 support this narrow range, though minor shifts in wind direction or residual moisture could trim the maximum by 1 °C or allow a brief push to 32 °C. Traders have priced these outcomes highest because official short-range guidance shows little spread around the 30–31 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$352Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and agency guidance indicate clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and building high pressure over central Spain will drive strong daytime solar heating in Madrid on September 11. With minimal cloud cover and low humidity expected, surface temperatures should peak near 30–31 °C—well above the 27.5 °C climatological average—while overnight lows drop sharply. Ensemble consensus and the warming trend already observed from September 9–10 support this narrow range, though minor shifts in wind direction or residual moisture could trim the maximum by 1 °C or allow a brief push to 32 °C. Traders have priced these outcomes highest because official short-range guidance shows little spread around the 30–31 °C threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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