Latest short-range forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble runs point to a high near 21–23 °C in Munich on 15 June under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Model consensus shows modest daytime heating from June solar angles, tempered by residual moisture and variable cloud timing that caps the peak. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–22 °C (combined ~67 %) reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with 23 °C priced lower because most guidance keeps the maximum below the threshold for stronger insolation or clearer skies. Minor shifts in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could still nudge the verified high between the leading bins before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Munich on June 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 15?
22°C 40%
21°C 30%
23°C 16%
20°C 6%
NOUVEAU
$14,076 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,076 Vol.
15 juin 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
30%
22°C
40%
23°C
16%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 40%
21°C 30%
23°C 16%
20°C 6%
NOUVEAU
$14,076 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,076 Vol.
15 juin 2026
16°C or below
$210 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,210 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2,511 Vol.
2%
20°C
$2,016 Vol.
6%
21°C
$1,108 Vol.
30%
22°C
$1,174 Vol.
40%
23°C
$1,184 Vol.
16%
24°C
$530 Vol.
5%
25°C
$1,042 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$2,041 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble runs point to a high near 21–23 °C in Munich on 15 June under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Model consensus shows modest daytime heating from June solar angles, tempered by residual moisture and variable cloud timing that caps the peak. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–22 °C (combined ~67 %) reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with 23 °C priced lower because most guidance keeps the maximum below the threshold for stronger insolation or clearer skies. Minor shifts in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could still nudge the verified high between the leading bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$14,076Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble runs point to a high near 21–23 °C in Munich on 15 June under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Model consensus shows modest daytime heating from June solar angles, tempered by residual moisture and variable cloud timing that caps the peak. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–22 °C (combined ~67 %) reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with 23 °C priced lower because most guidance keeps the maximum below the threshold for stronger insolation or clearer skies. Minor shifts in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could still nudge the verified high between the leading bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,076Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble runs point to a high near 21–23 °C in Munich on 15 June under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Model consensus shows modest daytime heating from June solar angles, tempered by residual moisture and variable cloud timing that caps the peak. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–22 °C (combined ~67 %) reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with 23 °C priced lower because most guidance keeps the maximum below the threshold for stronger insolation or clearer skies. Minor shifts in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could still nudge the verified high between the leading bins before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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