Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a moderating trend after mid-August heat, with increased cloud cover and possible scattered showers limiting peak heating on the 19th. This follows a period of anomalous warmth driven by high pressure, now giving way to a cooler Atlantic flow that caps surface temperatures. Key variables include daytime solar insolation duration, boundary-layer moisture, and exact frontal timing, which create narrow spreads in deterministic runs around 23–25 °C. Official observations will come from the Paris-Montsouris station, emphasizing the distinction between model consensus and realized maximum. With resolution only two days away, updated 12z and 00z guidance will further narrow the distribution reflected in current market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 19 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 19 août ?
23°C 31%
24°C 29%
25°C 16%
22°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
31%
24°C
29%
25°C
16%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 31%
24°C 29%
25°C 16%
22°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
19°C or below
$54 Vol.
1%
20°C
$109 Vol.
1%
21°C
$289 Vol.
3%
22°C
$473 Vol.
11%
23°C
$549 Vol.
31%
24°C
$334 Vol.
29%
25°C
$394 Vol.
16%
26°C
$209 Vol.
5%
27°C
$203 Vol.
2%
28°C
$587 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$181 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a moderating trend after mid-August heat, with increased cloud cover and possible scattered showers limiting peak heating on the 19th. This follows a period of anomalous warmth driven by high pressure, now giving way to a cooler Atlantic flow that caps surface temperatures. Key variables include daytime solar insolation duration, boundary-layer moisture, and exact frontal timing, which create narrow spreads in deterministic runs around 23–25 °C. Official observations will come from the Paris-Montsouris station, emphasizing the distinction between model consensus and realized maximum. With resolution only two days away, updated 12z and 00z guidance will further narrow the distribution reflected in current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$3,382Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a moderating trend after mid-August heat, with increased cloud cover and possible scattered showers limiting peak heating on the 19th. This follows a period of anomalous warmth driven by high pressure, now giving way to a cooler Atlantic flow that caps surface temperatures. Key variables include daytime solar insolation duration, boundary-layer moisture, and exact frontal timing, which create narrow spreads in deterministic runs around 23–25 °C. Official observations will come from the Paris-Montsouris station, emphasizing the distinction between model consensus and realized maximum. With resolution only two days away, updated 12z and 00z guidance will further narrow the distribution reflected in current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,382Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a moderating trend after mid-August heat, with increased cloud cover and possible scattered showers limiting peak heating on the 19th. This follows a period of anomalous warmth driven by high pressure, now giving way to a cooler Atlantic flow that caps surface temperatures. Key variables include daytime solar insolation duration, boundary-layer moisture, and exact frontal timing, which create narrow spreads in deterministic runs around 23–25 °C. Official observations will come from the Paris-Montsouris station, emphasizing the distinction between model consensus and realized maximum. With resolution only two days away, updated 12z and 00z guidance will further narrow the distribution reflected in current market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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