Recent model guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a post-heatwave cool-down for Paris on August 21, with increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and modest northerly flow limiting daytime heating and boundary-layer mixing. These conditions align with late-August climatology of 23–25°C highs while suppressing peaks near seasonal averages. Official forecasts currently center on a 23–25°C maximum, supporting the market’s strong consensus around 23°C. Traders monitor the next ECMWF and GFS runs for any shifts in cloud timing or advection that could nudge the peak higher or hold it near the leading bin; resolution depends on the official Paris-Montsouris maximum recorded that day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 21 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 21 août ?
23°C 54%
24°C 24%
22°C 14%
25°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
54%
24°C
24%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 54%
24°C 24%
22°C 14%
25°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
20°C or below
$365 Vol.
2%
21°C
$494 Vol.
4%
22°C
$591 Vol.
14%
23°C
$2,799 Vol.
54%
24°C
$821 Vol.
24%
25°C
$396 Vol.
5%
26°C
$516 Vol.
2%
27°C
$309 Vol.
1%
28°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,268 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a post-heatwave cool-down for Paris on August 21, with increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and modest northerly flow limiting daytime heating and boundary-layer mixing. These conditions align with late-August climatology of 23–25°C highs while suppressing peaks near seasonal averages. Official forecasts currently center on a 23–25°C maximum, supporting the market’s strong consensus around 23°C. Traders monitor the next ECMWF and GFS runs for any shifts in cloud timing or advection that could nudge the peak higher or hold it near the leading bin; resolution depends on the official Paris-Montsouris maximum recorded that day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$9,233Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a post-heatwave cool-down for Paris on August 21, with increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and modest northerly flow limiting daytime heating and boundary-layer mixing. These conditions align with late-August climatology of 23–25°C highs while suppressing peaks near seasonal averages. Official forecasts currently center on a 23–25°C maximum, supporting the market’s strong consensus around 23°C. Traders monitor the next ECMWF and GFS runs for any shifts in cloud timing or advection that could nudge the peak higher or hold it near the leading bin; resolution depends on the official Paris-Montsouris maximum recorded that day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,233Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a post-heatwave cool-down for Paris on August 21, with increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and modest northerly flow limiting daytime heating and boundary-layer mixing. These conditions align with late-August climatology of 23–25°C highs while suppressing peaks near seasonal averages. Official forecasts currently center on a 23–25°C maximum, supporting the market’s strong consensus around 23°C. Traders monitor the next ECMWF and GFS runs for any shifts in cloud timing or advection that could nudge the peak higher or hold it near the leading bin; resolution depends on the official Paris-Montsouris maximum recorded that day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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