Recent cooling after France's intense late-June heatwave is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C. Persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow that produced 37–40°C readings earlier in the week are weakening, allowing Atlantic maritime air and scattered thundershowers to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and other models shows the highest uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of this transition over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for adjacent thresholds nearly even. Historical late-June variability and rapid model shifts in frontal passage or cloud cover add to the balanced sentiment, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded on June 29.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 29 juin ?
27°C 37%
28°C 32%
26°C 18%
29°C 7%
$10,868 Vol.
$10,868 Vol.
24°C or below
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
18%
27°C
37%
28°C
32%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
28°C 32%
26°C 18%
29°C 7%
$10,868 Vol.
$10,868 Vol.
24°C or below
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
18%
27°C
37%
28°C
32%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling after France's intense late-June heatwave is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C. Persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow that produced 37–40°C readings earlier in the week are weakening, allowing Atlantic maritime air and scattered thundershowers to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and other models shows the highest uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of this transition over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for adjacent thresholds nearly even. Historical late-June variability and rapid model shifts in frontal passage or cloud cover add to the balanced sentiment, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded on June 29.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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