Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 3, 2026, highlight a modest warming trend amid a broader California heat wave, with the marine layer and onshore flow expected to moderate coastal temperatures into the mid-70s. This positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 68-70°F but frequently reach the mid-70s when high pressure weakens the sea breeze. Lower probabilities for 80°F+ reflect the persistent cooling influence of the Pacific, while colder bins align with stronger onshore winds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will refine land-sea temperature gradients and confirm the exact maximum at the official KSFO station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 3 août ?
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 3 août ?
76-77 °F 36%
74-75°F 24%
78-79 °F 20%
80-81 °F 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
69°F ou moins
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
24%
76-77 °F
36%
78-79 °F
20%
80-81 °F
14%
82-83°F
5%
84-85 °F
1%
86-87 °F
2%
88°F ou plus
1%
76-77 °F 36%
74-75°F 24%
78-79 °F 20%
80-81 °F 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
69°F ou moins
$25 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$109 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$14 Vol.
9%
74-75°F
$30 Vol.
24%
76-77 °F
$704 Vol.
36%
78-79 °F
$88 Vol.
20%
80-81 °F
$26 Vol.
14%
82-83°F
$16 Vol.
5%
84-85 °F
$50 Vol.
1%
86-87 °F
$20 Vol.
2%
88°F ou plus
$111 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 3, 2026, highlight a modest warming trend amid a broader California heat wave, with the marine layer and onshore flow expected to moderate coastal temperatures into the mid-70s. This positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 68-70°F but frequently reach the mid-70s when high pressure weakens the sea breeze. Lower probabilities for 80°F+ reflect the persistent cooling influence of the Pacific, while colder bins align with stronger onshore winds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will refine land-sea temperature gradients and confirm the exact maximum at the official KSFO station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$1,194Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 3, 2026, highlight a modest warming trend amid a broader California heat wave, with the marine layer and onshore flow expected to moderate coastal temperatures into the mid-70s. This positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 68-70°F but frequently reach the mid-70s when high pressure weakens the sea breeze. Lower probabilities for 80°F+ reflect the persistent cooling influence of the Pacific, while colder bins align with stronger onshore winds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will refine land-sea temperature gradients and confirm the exact maximum at the official KSFO station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,194Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 3, 2026, highlight a modest warming trend amid a broader California heat wave, with the marine layer and onshore flow expected to moderate coastal temperatures into the mid-70s. This positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 68-70°F but frequently reach the mid-70s when high pressure weakens the sea breeze. Lower probabilities for 80°F+ reflect the persistent cooling influence of the Pacific, while colder bins align with stronger onshore winds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will refine land-sea temperature gradients and confirm the exact maximum at the official KSFO station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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