A cold front advancing from the south is the dominant driver, with southerly winds, widespread cloud cover, and likely precipitation expected to sharply limit daytime heating in São Paulo on September 6. Official and ensemble forecasts show highs falling well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 23–25°C, clustering instead in the 14–17°C range as persistent overcast skies and rain reduce solar insolation while cooler maritime air replaces the prior northerly flow. Model spread on exact frontal timing, cloud thickness, and rainfall intensity creates the observed market equilibrium across the 14–18°C outcomes, each carrying equal implied probability. Updated runs from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds and could shift sentiment if drier or clearer conditions emerge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 6 septembre ?
17°C 37%
15°C 36%
16°C 31%
18°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
6%
14°C
13%
15°C
36%
16°C
31%
17°C
26%
18°C
15%
19°C
5%
20°C
7%
21°C
6%
22°C
6%
23°C ou plus
6%
17°C 37%
15°C 36%
16°C 31%
18°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
6%
14°C
$0 Vol.
13%
15°C
$0 Vol.
36%
16°C
$0 Vol.
31%
17°C
$3 Vol.
26%
18°C
$12 Vol.
15%
19°C
$11 Vol.
5%
20°C
$2 Vol.
7%
21°C
$0 Vol.
6%
22°C
$0 Vol.
6%
23°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing from the south is the dominant driver, with southerly winds, widespread cloud cover, and likely precipitation expected to sharply limit daytime heating in São Paulo on September 6. Official and ensemble forecasts show highs falling well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 23–25°C, clustering instead in the 14–17°C range as persistent overcast skies and rain reduce solar insolation while cooler maritime air replaces the prior northerly flow. Model spread on exact frontal timing, cloud thickness, and rainfall intensity creates the observed market equilibrium across the 14–18°C outcomes, each carrying equal implied probability. Updated runs from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds and could shift sentiment if drier or clearer conditions emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$28Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing from the south is the dominant driver, with southerly winds, widespread cloud cover, and likely precipitation expected to sharply limit daytime heating in São Paulo on September 6. Official and ensemble forecasts show highs falling well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 23–25°C, clustering instead in the 14–17°C range as persistent overcast skies and rain reduce solar insolation while cooler maritime air replaces the prior northerly flow. Model spread on exact frontal timing, cloud thickness, and rainfall intensity creates the observed market equilibrium across the 14–18°C outcomes, each carrying equal implied probability. Updated runs from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds and could shift sentiment if drier or clearer conditions emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...A cold front advancing from the south is the dominant driver, with southerly winds, widespread cloud cover, and likely precipitation expected to sharply limit daytime heating in São Paulo on September 6. Official and ensemble forecasts show highs falling well below the early-September climatological average of roughly 23–25°C, clustering instead in the 14–17°C range as persistent overcast skies and rain reduce solar insolation while cooler maritime air replaces the prior northerly flow. Model spread on exact frontal timing, cloud thickness, and rainfall intensity creates the observed market equilibrium across the 14–18°C outcomes, each carrying equal implied probability. Updated runs from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds and could shift sentiment if drier or clearer conditions emerge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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