Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate Seoul’s June 28 maximum temperature will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Variability stems from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, all of which can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical climatology for late June shows a mean daily maximum near 28 °C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against the latest model runs. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution simulations expected over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift probabilities before the market resolves.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seoul on June 28?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 28?
27°C 99.9%
30°C <1%
29°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$181,262 Vol.
$181,262 Vol.
28 juin 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.9%
30°C <1%
29°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$181,262 Vol.
$181,262 Vol.
28 juin 2026
21°C or below
$2,104 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$7,563 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,427 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,583 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,100 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$24,867 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$41,228 Vol.
100%
28°C
$37,309 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$21,350 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$16,715 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$13,017 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate Seoul’s June 28 maximum temperature will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Variability stems from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, all of which can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical climatology for late June shows a mean daily maximum near 28 °C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against the latest model runs. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution simulations expected over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift probabilities before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$181,262Date de fin
28 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate Seoul’s June 28 maximum temperature will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Variability stems from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, all of which can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical climatology for late June shows a mean daily maximum near 28 °C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against the latest model runs. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution simulations expected over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift probabilities before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$181,262Date de fin
28 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as the ECMWF and GFS indicate Seoul’s June 28 maximum temperature will likely fall in the 27–29 °C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Variability stems from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, all of which can alter peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical climatology for late June shows a mean daily maximum near 28 °C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against the latest model runs. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution simulations expected over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift probabilities before the market resolves.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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