Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on a 24°C high for Seoul/Incheon on September 15 reflects official station readings from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon International Airport, where afternoon maxima stabilized at that level under clear skies, light northwesterly winds around 6–8 kt, and low humidity near 30–50%. These conditions aligned with model consensus from GFS runs showing limited diurnal heating and no significant warm advection, consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. The near-certainty accounts for the day nearing completion in local time, with minimal scope for revision. Only an improbable late surge from unforecast mesoscale features or measurement error at primary sites could alter the outcome before final verification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 15 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 15 septembre ?
24°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$56,915 Vol.
$56,915 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Oui
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C ou plus
Non
24°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$56,915 Vol.
$56,915 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$132 Vol.
Non
20°C
$132 Vol.
Non
21°C
$1,553 Vol.
Non
22°C
$1,538 Vol.
Non
23°C
$5,759 Vol.
Non
24°C
$17,309 Vol.
Oui
25°C
$11,178 Vol.
Non
26°C
$10,530 Vol.
Non
27°C
$4,823 Vol.
Non
28°C
$2,311 Vol.
Non
29°C ou plus
$1,650 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on a 24°C high for Seoul/Incheon on September 15 reflects official station readings from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon International Airport, where afternoon maxima stabilized at that level under clear skies, light northwesterly winds around 6–8 kt, and low humidity near 30–50%. These conditions aligned with model consensus from GFS runs showing limited diurnal heating and no significant warm advection, consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. The near-certainty accounts for the day nearing completion in local time, with minimal scope for revision. Only an improbable late surge from unforecast mesoscale features or measurement error at primary sites could alter the outcome before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$56,915Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on a 24°C high for Seoul/Incheon on September 15 reflects official station readings from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon International Airport, where afternoon maxima stabilized at that level under clear skies, light northwesterly winds around 6–8 kt, and low humidity near 30–50%. These conditions aligned with model consensus from GFS runs showing limited diurnal heating and no significant warm advection, consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. The near-certainty accounts for the day nearing completion in local time, with minimal scope for revision. Only an improbable late surge from unforecast mesoscale features or measurement error at primary sites could alter the outcome before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$56,915Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on a 24°C high for Seoul/Incheon on September 15 reflects official station readings from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon International Airport, where afternoon maxima stabilized at that level under clear skies, light northwesterly winds around 6–8 kt, and low humidity near 30–50%. These conditions aligned with model consensus from GFS runs showing limited diurnal heating and no significant warm advection, consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. The near-certainty accounts for the day nearing completion in local time, with minimal scope for revision. Only an improbable late surge from unforecast mesoscale features or measurement error at primary sites could alter the outcome before final verification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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