Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts project a 35°C high for Taipei on July 27 amid stable midsummer conditions, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (27–29.5%) to 35–36°C outcomes. Peak solar insolation during July's typical 33–34°C average highs drives temperatures upward, amplified by the urban heat island effect, while high humidity and potential convective showers could cap the daily maximum. Differentiation between 35°C and 36°C hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized surface heating, introducing genuine short-term forecast uncertainty that markets price through skin-in-the-game consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Taipei le 27 juillet ?
35°C 31%
36°C 30%
34°C 16%
33°C 12%
29°C ou moins
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
12%
34°C
16%
35°C
31%
36°C
30%
37°C
12%
38°C
7%
39°C ou plus
5%
35°C 31%
36°C 30%
34°C 16%
33°C 12%
29°C ou moins
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
12%
34°C
16%
35°C
31%
36°C
30%
37°C
12%
38°C
7%
39°C ou plus
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts project a 35°C high for Taipei on July 27 amid stable midsummer conditions, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (27–29.5%) to 35–36°C outcomes. Peak solar insolation during July's typical 33–34°C average highs drives temperatures upward, amplified by the urban heat island effect, while high humidity and potential convective showers could cap the daily maximum. Differentiation between 35°C and 36°C hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized surface heating, introducing genuine short-term forecast uncertainty that markets price through skin-in-the-game consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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