Recent short-range model consensus from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Toronto on July 12, driven by a mix of sun and cloud under a moderate westerly flow with dew points supporting efficient daytime heating but limited by possible scattered afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier and others reaching 29°C under clearer skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those three outcomes. Historical July climatology for the region centers around 27°C, providing context for why extremes below 25°C or above 30°C carry low implied probabilities absent a sharp pattern shift. Updated model runs and any new observational data on boundary-layer moisture or steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts for sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Toronto le 12 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Toronto le 12 juillet ?
28°C 43%
27°C 24%
29°C 22%
26°C 5.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 juil. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
24%
28°C
43%
29°C
22%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 43%
27°C 24%
29°C 22%
26°C 5.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 juil. 2026
22°C or below
$1,381 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$152 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$254 Vol.
1%
25°C
$215 Vol.
3%
26°C
$291 Vol.
5%
27°C
$390 Vol.
24%
28°C
$155 Vol.
43%
29°C
$298 Vol.
22%
30°C
$180 Vol.
2%
31°C
$138 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$355 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Toronto on July 12, driven by a mix of sun and cloud under a moderate westerly flow with dew points supporting efficient daytime heating but limited by possible scattered afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier and others reaching 29°C under clearer skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those three outcomes. Historical July climatology for the region centers around 27°C, providing context for why extremes below 25°C or above 30°C carry low implied probabilities absent a sharp pattern shift. Updated model runs and any new observational data on boundary-layer moisture or steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts for sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$3,810Date de fin
12 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Toronto on July 12, driven by a mix of sun and cloud under a moderate westerly flow with dew points supporting efficient daytime heating but limited by possible scattered afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier and others reaching 29°C under clearer skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those three outcomes. Historical July climatology for the region centers around 27°C, providing context for why extremes below 25°C or above 30°C carry low implied probabilities absent a sharp pattern shift. Updated model runs and any new observational data on boundary-layer moisture or steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts for sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,810Date de fin
12 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Toronto on July 12, driven by a mix of sun and cloud under a moderate westerly flow with dew points supporting efficient daytime heating but limited by possible scattered afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier and others reaching 29°C under clearer skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those three outcomes. Historical July climatology for the region centers around 27°C, providing context for why extremes below 25°C or above 30°C carry low implied probabilities absent a sharp pattern shift. Updated model runs and any new observational data on boundary-layer moisture or steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts for sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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