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How long will ICEMAN be?

icon for How long will ICEMAN be?

How long will ICEMAN be?

60 - 70 minutes 100.0%

<30 minutes <1%

30 - 40 minutes <1%

40 - 50 minutes <1%

Polymarket

$16,810 Vol.

60 - 70 minutes 100.0%

<30 minutes <1%

30 - 40 minutes <1%

40 - 50 minutes <1%

Polymarket

$16,810 Vol.

<30 minutes

$14,921 Vol.

No

30 - 40 minutes

$1,148 Vol.

No

40 - 50 minutes

$85 Vol.

No

50 - 60 minutes

$56 Vol.

No

60 - 70 minutes

$175 Vol.

Yes

70 - 80 minutes

$185 Vol.

No

80 - 90 minutes

$88 Vol.

No

90+ minutes

$152 Vol.

No

Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'. The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ICEMAN's runtime falling in the 60-70 minute range at 65% implied probability, driven by Drake's official tracklist reveal earlier this week confirming 18 songs for the ninth studio album, released today via OVO Sound and Republic Records alongside companion projects Habibti and Maid of Honour. With typical Drake track lengths averaging 3:30-4:00 minutes—mirroring For All the Dogs' 23-track, 55-minute structure but adjusted for fewer songs—traders anticipate a tight 68-minute total, positioning 50-60 minutes (45.5%) as the nearest rival amid debates over intros, skits, or extended outros. The 80-90 minute (41.5%) and 90+ (40.5%) buckets reflect lingering speculation from pre-release rumors of 20-26 tracks by DJ Akademiks, though the confirmed count has solidified shorter-run momentum. Market resolution hinges on official streaming platform metrics like Spotify's total duration post-release.

Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.

This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.

The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.

Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
Volume
$16,810
Date de fin
15 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'. The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'. The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ICEMAN's runtime falling in the 60-70 minute range at 65% implied probability, driven by Drake's official tracklist reveal earlier this week confirming 18 songs for the ninth studio album, released today via OVO Sound and Republic Records alongside companion projects Habibti and Maid of Honour. With typical Drake track lengths averaging 3:30-4:00 minutes—mirroring For All the Dogs' 23-track, 55-minute structure but adjusted for fewer songs—traders anticipate a tight 68-minute total, positioning 50-60 minutes (45.5%) as the nearest rival amid debates over intros, skits, or extended outros. The 80-90 minute (41.5%) and 90+ (40.5%) buckets reflect lingering speculation from pre-release rumors of 20-26 tracks by DJ Akademiks, though the confirmed count has solidified shorter-run momentum. Market resolution hinges on official streaming platform metrics like Spotify's total duration post-release.

Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.

This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.

The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.

Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
Volume
$16,810
Date de fin
15 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'. The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

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Questions fréquentes

« How long will ICEMAN be? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 60 - 70 minutes » à 100%, suivi de « <30 minutes » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « How long will ICEMAN be? » a généré $16.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 23, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « How long will ICEMAN be? », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « How long will ICEMAN be? » est « 60 - 70 minutes » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « <30 minutes » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « How long will ICEMAN be? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.