Trump’s approval rating has fallen to the low-to-mid 30s in recent national polls amid the protracted U.S. conflict with Iran that began in early 2026, with gasoline prices rising sharply after disruptions to global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Polling aggregates place his job approval near 37-39 percent as of mid-to-late August, dragged lower by sustained public concern over inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and the open-ended nature of military involvement—80 percent of respondents in one August survey expected the engagement to continue for an extended period. Economic handling registers the weakest subcategory ratings, while the approach of November midterms adds scrutiny on whether these trends will intensify or stabilize before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$121,523 Vol.
35 %
29%
30 %
6%
25 %
5%
20 %
2%
$121,523 Vol.
35 %
29%
30 %
6%
25 %
5%
20 %
2%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s approval rating has fallen to the low-to-mid 30s in recent national polls amid the protracted U.S. conflict with Iran that began in early 2026, with gasoline prices rising sharply after disruptions to global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Polling aggregates place his job approval near 37-39 percent as of mid-to-late August, dragged lower by sustained public concern over inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and the open-ended nature of military involvement—80 percent of respondents in one August survey expected the engagement to continue for an extended period. Economic handling registers the weakest subcategory ratings, while the approach of November midterms adds scrutiny on whether these trends will intensify or stabilize before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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