Trump’s approval rating has fallen to the low 30s to low 40s in recent May 2026 polling, reflecting widespread public dissatisfaction with the administration’s handling of the ongoing conflict with Iran and its spillover effects on energy prices and inflation. Gas prices have risen sharply since the start of hostilities, prompting broad criticism even among some Republicans, while overall economic sentiment remains negative. Approaching November midterms have heightened scrutiny of these trends, with Democrats showing stronger voter motivation and gaining ground in generic congressional ballots. Historical patterns indicate that sustained foreign-policy challenges and cost-of-living pressures can further erode support, though the president retains solid backing on immigration enforcement. Any resolution or escalation in the Iran situation, combined with economic data releases before year-end, will likely shape whether ratings stabilize or reach new lows.