Iowa's 3rd congressional district race features Republican incumbent Zach Nunn seeking a third term against Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott, with the November 3, 2026 general election approaching after uncontested June primaries for both major parties. The district, anchored around Des Moines with an R+2 partisan voting index, saw Nunn win reelection in 2024 by roughly four points. Trader consensus currently favors the Democratic nominee at 70.5 percent, reflecting assessments of the national midterm environment, recent Democratic advertising launches highlighting local issues, and the seat's status as one of the more competitive Iowa districts. A Libertarian candidate adds a minor factor to the general election ballot. Key variables ahead include fundraising trajectories, voter turnout patterns in the suburban and urban portions of the district, and any shifts in statewide or national polling that could influence the final margin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
IA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
74%
Parti républicain
31%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$3,050 Vol.
74%
Parti républicain
$3,217 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 3rd congressional district race features Republican incumbent Zach Nunn seeking a third term against Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott, with the November 3, 2026 general election approaching after uncontested June primaries for both major parties. The district, anchored around Des Moines with an R+2 partisan voting index, saw Nunn win reelection in 2024 by roughly four points. Trader consensus currently favors the Democratic nominee at 70.5 percent, reflecting assessments of the national midterm environment, recent Democratic advertising launches highlighting local issues, and the seat's status as one of the more competitive Iowa districts. A Libertarian candidate adds a minor factor to the general election ballot. Key variables ahead include fundraising trajectories, voter turnout patterns in the suburban and urban portions of the district, and any shifts in statewide or national polling that could influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Volume
$6,267Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 3rd congressional district race features Republican incumbent Zach Nunn seeking a third term against Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott, with the November 3, 2026 general election approaching after uncontested June primaries for both major parties. The district, anchored around Des Moines with an R+2 partisan voting index, saw Nunn win reelection in 2024 by roughly four points. Trader consensus currently favors the Democratic nominee at 70.5 percent, reflecting assessments of the national midterm environment, recent Democratic advertising launches highlighting local issues, and the seat's status as one of the more competitive Iowa districts. A Libertarian candidate adds a minor factor to the general election ballot. Key variables ahead include fundraising trajectories, voter turnout patterns in the suburban and urban portions of the district, and any shifts in statewide or national polling that could influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,267Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 3rd congressional district race features Republican incumbent Zach Nunn seeking a third term against Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott, with the November 3, 2026 general election approaching after uncontested June primaries for both major parties. The district, anchored around Des Moines with an R+2 partisan voting index, saw Nunn win reelection in 2024 by roughly four points. Trader consensus currently favors the Democratic nominee at 70.5 percent, reflecting assessments of the national midterm environment, recent Democratic advertising launches highlighting local issues, and the seat's status as one of the more competitive Iowa districts. A Libertarian candidate adds a minor factor to the general election ballot. Key variables ahead include fundraising trajectories, voter turnout patterns in the suburban and urban portions of the district, and any shifts in statewide or national polling that could influence the final margin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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