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icon for Le référendum sur les négociations d'adhésion de l'Islande à l'Union européenne passe-t-il ?

Le référendum sur les négociations d'adhésion de l'Islande à l'Union européenne passe-t-il ?

icon for Le référendum sur les négociations d'adhésion de l'Islande à l'Union européenne passe-t-il ?

Le référendum sur les négociations d'adhésion de l'Islande à l'Union européenne passe-t-il ?

Oui

58% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Oui

58% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Iceland's closely balanced referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations stems from longstanding divisions over economic integration versus control of key sectors like fisheries and agriculture. The coalition government, formed after the 2024 elections and led by Prime Minister Kristrún Frostadóttir, advanced the August 29, 2026 vote through parliamentary approval in May, framing it as a first step that would require a separate public vote on any final membership terms. Public sentiment remains split, with recent polls showing near-even support, reflecting Iceland's existing EEA participation and concerns over sovereignty, currency policy, and regulatory alignment. Campaign developments, shifts in economic indicators, or sector-specific debates on fishing quotas could alter voter turnout or preferences in the weeks ahead.

The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.

The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Volume
$4,265
Date de fin
30 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Iceland's closely balanced referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations stems from longstanding divisions over economic integration versus control of key sectors like fisheries and agriculture. The coalition government, formed after the 2024 elections and led by Prime Minister Kristrún Frostadóttir, advanced the August 29, 2026 vote through parliamentary approval in May, framing it as a first step that would require a separate public vote on any final membership terms. Public sentiment remains split, with recent polls showing near-even support, reflecting Iceland's existing EEA participation and concerns over sovereignty, currency policy, and regulatory alignment. Campaign developments, shifts in economic indicators, or sector-specific debates on fishing quotas could alter voter turnout or preferences in the weeks ahead.

The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.

The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Volume
$4,265
Date de fin
30 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.

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« Le référendum sur les négociations d'adhésion de l'Islande à l'Union européenne passe-t-il ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Référendum sur les négociations d'adhésion de l'Islande à l'Union européenne adopté ? » à 58%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 58¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 58% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Le référendum sur les négociations d'adhésion de l'Islande à l'Union européenne passe-t-il ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jun 10, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Le référendum sur les négociations d'adhésion de l'Islande à l'Union européenne passe-t-il ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Le référendum sur les négociations d'adhésion de l'Islande à l'Union européenne passe-t-il ? » est « Référendum sur les négociations d'adhésion de l'Islande à l'Union européenne adopté ? » à 58%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 58% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

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