Japan’s government has shown no signs of launching a dedicated UAP disclosure program or scheduled release of previously non-public files before the end of 2026. Following U.S. PURSUE tranches that included incidents near Japanese airspace, Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stated in May that Tokyo is analyzing the material with allies but will handle any domestic disclosures strictly case-by-case, weighing risks to intelligence sources and methods. A bipartisan parliamentary proposal for a centralized UAP unit under the Cabinet Secretariat advanced earlier in the year without producing legislative action or a public archive. The July creation of the National Intelligence Bureau further centralized coordination but did not alter disclosure policy. Traders therefore assign low probability to any new Japanese declassifications this year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour8% chance
$11,398 Vol.
$11,398 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
8% chance
$11,398 Vol.
$11,398 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Japan’s government has shown no signs of launching a dedicated UAP disclosure program or scheduled release of previously non-public files before the end of 2026. Following U.S. PURSUE tranches that included incidents near Japanese airspace, Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stated in May that Tokyo is analyzing the material with allies but will handle any domestic disclosures strictly case-by-case, weighing risks to intelligence sources and methods. A bipartisan parliamentary proposal for a centralized UAP unit under the Cabinet Secretariat advanced earlier in the year without producing legislative action or a public archive. The July creation of the National Intelligence Bureau further centralized coordination but did not alter disclosure policy. Traders therefore assign low probability to any new Japanese declassifications this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 4:42 PM ET
Volume
$11,398Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 4:42 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Japan’s government has shown no signs of launching a dedicated UAP disclosure program or scheduled release of previously non-public files before the end of 2026. Following U.S. PURSUE tranches that included incidents near Japanese airspace, Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stated in May that Tokyo is analyzing the material with allies but will handle any domestic disclosures strictly case-by-case, weighing risks to intelligence sources and methods. A bipartisan parliamentary proposal for a centralized UAP unit under the Cabinet Secretariat advanced earlier in the year without producing legislative action or a public archive. The July creation of the National Intelligence Bureau further centralized coordination but did not alter disclosure policy. Traders therefore assign low probability to any new Japanese declassifications this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$11,398Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 4:42 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Japan’s government has shown no signs of launching a dedicated UAP disclosure program or scheduled release of previously non-public files before the end of 2026. Following U.S. PURSUE tranches that included incidents near Japanese airspace, Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stated in May that Tokyo is analyzing the material with allies but will handle any domestic disclosures strictly case-by-case, weighing risks to intelligence sources and methods. A bipartisan parliamentary proposal for a centralized UAP unit under the Cabinet Secretariat advanced earlier in the year without producing legislative action or a public archive. The July creation of the National Intelligence Bureau further centralized coordination but did not alter disclosure policy. Traders therefore assign low probability to any new Japanese declassifications this year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes