**Traders assign "No" a 90.6% probability because Democratic-led impeachment articles against Kristi Noem as DHS Secretary face insurmountable procedural and partisan barriers in a Republican-controlled House.** Articles introduced in January 2026 by Rep. Robin Kelly and backed by roughly 70 Democratic cosponsors accused Noem of obstruction and related conduct tied to DHS and ICE operations; the resolution was referred to the Judiciary Committee but advanced no further. With no Republican support or committee action evident by mid-August, the effort remains stalled. Noem’s January 2025 resignation from the South Dakota governorship to join the Trump cabinet, followed by her later shift to a special envoy role, further distances her from state-level removal processes and concentrates any federal accountability in a chamber where majority priorities do not align with the Democratic initiative. Absent bipartisan momentum or new investigative triggers, the consensus reflects the low odds of House passage or Senate conviction this year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKristi Noem mise en accusation en 2026 ?
Kristi Noem mise en accusation en 2026 ?
Oui
9% chance
$20,175 Vol.
$20,175 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
9% chance
$20,175 Vol.
$20,175 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Traders assign "No" a 90.6% probability because Democratic-led impeachment articles against Kristi Noem as DHS Secretary face insurmountable procedural and partisan barriers in a Republican-controlled House.**
Articles introduced in January 2026 by Rep. Robin Kelly and backed by roughly 70 Democratic cosponsors accused Noem of obstruction and related conduct tied to DHS and ICE operations; the resolution was referred to the Judiciary Committee but advanced no further. With no Republican support or committee action evident by mid-August, the effort remains stalled. Noem’s January 2025 resignation from the South Dakota governorship to join the Trump cabinet, followed by her later shift to a special envoy role, further distances her from state-level removal processes and concentrates any federal accountability in a chamber where majority priorities do not align with the Democratic initiative. Absent bipartisan momentum or new investigative triggers, the consensus reflects the low odds of House passage or Senate conviction this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
Volume
$20,175Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Traders assign "No" a 90.6% probability because Democratic-led impeachment articles against Kristi Noem as DHS Secretary face insurmountable procedural and partisan barriers in a Republican-controlled House.**
Articles introduced in January 2026 by Rep. Robin Kelly and backed by roughly 70 Democratic cosponsors accused Noem of obstruction and related conduct tied to DHS and ICE operations; the resolution was referred to the Judiciary Committee but advanced no further. With no Republican support or committee action evident by mid-August, the effort remains stalled. Noem’s January 2025 resignation from the South Dakota governorship to join the Trump cabinet, followed by her later shift to a special envoy role, further distances her from state-level removal processes and concentrates any federal accountability in a chamber where majority priorities do not align with the Democratic initiative. Absent bipartisan momentum or new investigative triggers, the consensus reflects the low odds of House passage or Senate conviction this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$20,175Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign "No" a 90.6% probability because Democratic-led impeachment articles against Kristi Noem as DHS Secretary face insurmountable procedural and partisan barriers in a Republican-controlled House.** Articles introduced in January 2026 by Rep. Robin Kelly and backed by roughly 70 Democratic cosponsors accused Noem of obstruction and related conduct tied to DHS and ICE operations; the resolution was referred to the Judiciary Committee but advanced no further. With no Republican support or committee action evident by mid-August, the effort remains stalled. Noem’s January 2025 resignation from the South Dakota governorship to join the Trump cabinet, followed by her later shift to a special envoy role, further distances her from state-level removal processes and concentrates any federal accountability in a chamber where majority priorities do not align with the Democratic initiative. Absent bipartisan momentum or new investigative triggers, the consensus reflects the low odds of House passage or Senate conviction this year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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