Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over western France, have elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris well above the July climatological average of 15–17°C. Météo-France guidance for July 10 points to morning lows near 20–22°C under light winds and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around these values. Urban heat-island effects and measurement protocols at official stations further constrain downside risk, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow could allow marginally lower readings. Updated model runs and the next official forecast briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 10 juillet ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 10 juillet ?
21°C 41%
20°C 37%
22°C 19%
19°C 7%
NOUVEAU
$23,681 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$23,681 Vol.
10 juil. 2026
16°C ou moins
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
37%
21°C
41%
22°C
19%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C ou plus
<1%
21°C 41%
20°C 37%
22°C 19%
19°C 7%
NOUVEAU
$23,681 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$23,681 Vol.
10 juil. 2026
16°C ou moins
$1,210 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$569 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$586 Vol.
1%
19°C
$590 Vol.
7%
20°C
$5,403 Vol.
37%
21°C
$9,441 Vol.
41%
22°C
$912 Vol.
19%
23°C
$1,211 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$992 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,287 Vol.
<1%
26°C ou plus
$1,481 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over western France, have elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris well above the July climatological average of 15–17°C. Météo-France guidance for July 10 points to morning lows near 20–22°C under light winds and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around these values. Urban heat-island effects and measurement protocols at official stations further constrain downside risk, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow could allow marginally lower readings. Updated model runs and the next official forecast briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$23,681Date de fin
10 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over western France, have elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris well above the July climatological average of 15–17°C. Météo-France guidance for July 10 points to morning lows near 20–22°C under light winds and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around these values. Urban heat-island effects and measurement protocols at official stations further constrain downside risk, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow could allow marginally lower readings. Updated model runs and the next official forecast briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,681Date de fin
10 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over western France, have elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris well above the July climatological average of 15–17°C. Météo-France guidance for July 10 points to morning lows near 20–22°C under light winds and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around these values. Urban heat-island effects and measurement protocols at official stations further constrain downside risk, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow could allow marginally lower readings. Updated model runs and the next official forecast briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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