Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate persistently warm overnight conditions across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27–28°C minimum on July 21. High pressure and limited cloud cover have maintained elevated dew points and reduced radiative cooling, while regional sea-surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms. These factors differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the low by 1°C. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, expected within the next 24 hours, will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 21 juillet ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 21 juillet ?
27°C 54%
28°C 41%
26°C 5.1%
29°C 2.7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 juil. 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
54%
28°C
41%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
27°C 54%
28°C 41%
26°C 5.1%
29°C 2.7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 juil. 2026
22°C ou moins
$328 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$174 Vol.
1%
25°C
$76 Vol.
2%
26°C
$107 Vol.
5%
27°C
$194 Vol.
54%
28°C
$831 Vol.
41%
29°C
$109 Vol.
3%
30°C
$546 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$493 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou plus
$406 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate persistently warm overnight conditions across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27–28°C minimum on July 21. High pressure and limited cloud cover have maintained elevated dew points and reduced radiative cooling, while regional sea-surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms. These factors differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the low by 1°C. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, expected within the next 24 hours, will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,457Date de fin
21 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate persistently warm overnight conditions across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27–28°C minimum on July 21. High pressure and limited cloud cover have maintained elevated dew points and reduced radiative cooling, while regional sea-surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms. These factors differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the low by 1°C. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, expected within the next 24 hours, will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,457Date de fin
21 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate persistently warm overnight conditions across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27–28°C minimum on July 21. High pressure and limited cloud cover have maintained elevated dew points and reduced radiative cooling, while regional sea-surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms. These factors differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the low by 1°C. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, expected within the next 24 hours, will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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