The strong Democratic lean of Massachusetts' 3rd congressional district, combined with incumbent Lori Trahan's established position and history of decisive primary and general election wins, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles, with analysts rating the seat as safe or solid for the party ahead of the September 1 primary and November 3 general election. Limited Republican opposition, including nominee Gary Grossi, has not shifted the outlook. A late development such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, significant health concerns, or an unforeseen national political realignment could still narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this reliably blue territory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$23,058 Vol.
$23,058 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
2%
$23,058 Vol.
$23,058 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$11,776 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$11,283 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Massachusetts' 3rd congressional district, combined with incumbent Lori Trahan's established position and history of decisive primary and general election wins, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles, with analysts rating the seat as safe or solid for the party ahead of the September 1 primary and November 3 general election. Limited Republican opposition, including nominee Gary Grossi, has not shifted the outlook. A late development such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, significant health concerns, or an unforeseen national political realignment could still narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this reliably blue territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$23,058Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Massachusetts' 3rd congressional district, combined with incumbent Lori Trahan's established position and history of decisive primary and general election wins, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles, with analysts rating the seat as safe or solid for the party ahead of the September 1 primary and November 3 general election. Limited Republican opposition, including nominee Gary Grossi, has not shifted the outlook. A late development such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, significant health concerns, or an unforeseen national political realignment could still narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this reliably blue territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,058Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Massachusetts' 3rd congressional district, combined with incumbent Lori Trahan's established position and history of decisive primary and general election wins, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles, with analysts rating the seat as safe or solid for the party ahead of the September 1 primary and November 3 general election. Limited Republican opposition, including nominee Gary Grossi, has not shifted the outlook. A late development such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, significant health concerns, or an unforeseen national political realignment could still narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this reliably blue territory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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