Recent launches of Meta’s Muse personal AI agent and Muse Spark large language models have driven a sharp rally in shares since early September, reinforcing trader confidence that AI efficiencies in Advantage+ advertising tools and generative creatives will sustain the 27% year-over-year ad revenue growth seen in Q2. Elevated 2026 capital expenditure of $130–145 billion continues to weigh on near-term free cash flow, capping expectations for rapid upside by end-October. The October 28 earnings release and any Meta Connect follow-through on developer API monetization or Meta One subscriptions represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift the current market-implied odds, which cluster around $1.5–2.0 trillion.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour1,50-1,75 T$ 40%
1,75-2,00 T$ 30%
1,25-1,50 T$ 22%
2,00-2,25 T$ 10.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 oct. 2026
<1,00 T$
3%
1,00–1,25 T$
5%
1,25-1,50 T$
19%
1,50-1,75 T$
40%
1,75-2,00 T$
30%
2,00-2,25 T$
10%
2,25 billions $+
5%
1,50-1,75 T$ 40%
1,75-2,00 T$ 30%
1,25-1,50 T$ 22%
2,00-2,25 T$ 10.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 oct. 2026
<1,00 T$
$183 Vol.
3%
1,00–1,25 T$
$773 Vol.
5%
1,25-1,50 T$
$43 Vol.
19%
1,50-1,75 T$
$1,589 Vol.
40%
1,75-2,00 T$
$1,372 Vol.
30%
2,00-2,25 T$
$217 Vol.
10%
2,25 billions $+
$299 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Recent launches of Meta’s Muse personal AI agent and Muse Spark large language models have driven a sharp rally in shares since early September, reinforcing trader confidence that AI efficiencies in Advantage+ advertising tools and generative creatives will sustain the 27% year-over-year ad revenue growth seen in Q2. Elevated 2026 capital expenditure of $130–145 billion continues to weigh on near-term free cash flow, capping expectations for rapid upside by end-October. The October 28 earnings release and any Meta Connect follow-through on developer API monetization or Meta One subscriptions represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift the current market-implied odds, which cluster around $1.5–2.0 trillion.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Volume
$4,476Date de fin
31 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Recent launches of Meta’s Muse personal AI agent and Muse Spark large language models have driven a sharp rally in shares since early September, reinforcing trader confidence that AI efficiencies in Advantage+ advertising tools and generative creatives will sustain the 27% year-over-year ad revenue growth seen in Q2. Elevated 2026 capital expenditure of $130–145 billion continues to weigh on near-term free cash flow, capping expectations for rapid upside by end-October. The October 28 earnings release and any Meta Connect follow-through on developer API monetization or Meta One subscriptions represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift the current market-implied odds, which cluster around $1.5–2.0 trillion.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$4,476Date de fin
31 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent launches of Meta’s Muse personal AI agent and Muse Spark large language models have driven a sharp rally in shares since early September, reinforcing trader confidence that AI efficiencies in Advantage+ advertising tools and generative creatives will sustain the 27% year-over-year ad revenue growth seen in Q2. Elevated 2026 capital expenditure of $130–145 billion continues to weigh on near-term free cash flow, capping expectations for rapid upside by end-October. The October 28 earnings release and any Meta Connect follow-through on developer API monetization or Meta One subscriptions represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift the current market-implied odds, which cluster around $1.5–2.0 trillion.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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