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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du secrétaire d'État du Michigan
Politique·Midterms

Vainqueur de l'élection du secrétaire d'État du Michigan

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du secrétaire d'État du Michigan
Politique·Midterms

Vainqueur de l'élection du secrétaire d'État du Michigan

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Garlin Gilchrist (D)

Garlin Gilchrist (D)

$2,133 Vol.

85%

icon for Anthony Forlini (R)

Anthony Forlini (R)

$1,694 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Garlin Gilchrist holds an 85% implied probability in the Michigan Secretary of State race due to his established statewide profile as lieutenant governor and a recent Detroit News-WDIV poll showing him ahead of Republican nominee Anthony Forlini by six to ten points among likely voters, with over 20% undecided. Both major-party candidates secured nominations at their August 2026 conventions after earlier endorsement votes, positioning Gilchrist with stronger fundraising and name identification advantages heading into the November 3 general election. Minor-party candidates and "other" outcomes register lower trader consensus, consistent with historical patterns in Michigan statewide contests where the two major parties dominate. Upcoming campaign events and any shifts in undecided voter sentiment could influence final margins before election day.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$3,827
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 1:57 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Garlin Gilchrist holds an 85% implied probability in the Michigan Secretary of State race due to his established statewide profile as lieutenant governor and a recent Detroit News-WDIV poll showing him ahead of Republican nominee Anthony Forlini by six to ten points among likely voters, with over 20% undecided. Both major-party candidates secured nominations at their August 2026 conventions after earlier endorsement votes, positioning Gilchrist with stronger fundraising and name identification advantages heading into the November 3 general election. Minor-party candidates and "other" outcomes register lower trader consensus, consistent with historical patterns in Michigan statewide contests where the two major parties dominate. Upcoming campaign events and any shifts in undecided voter sentiment could influence final margins before election day.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$3,827
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 1:57 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

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Le candidat du Parti démocrate remportera-t-il l'élection du Secrétaire d'État du Wisconsin en 2026 ?

82%
Oui
icon for Le candidat du Parti démocrate remportera-t-il l'élection du procureur général du Michigan en 2026 ?

Le candidat du Parti démocrate remportera-t-il l'élection du procureur général du Michigan en 2026 ?

68%
Oui
icon for Le candidat du Parti démocrate remportera-t-il l'élection du secrétaire d'État de l'Indiana en 2026 ?

Le candidat du Parti démocrate remportera-t-il l'élection du secrétaire d'État de l'Indiana en 2026 ?

54%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du secrétaire d'État du Michigan » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Garlin Gilchrist (D) » à 85%, suivi de « Anthony Forlini (R) » à 15%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 85¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 85% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du secrétaire d'État du Michigan » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 4, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du secrétaire d'État du Michigan », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du secrétaire d'État du Michigan » est « Garlin Gilchrist (D) » à 85%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 85% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Anthony Forlini (R) » à 15%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du secrétaire d'État du Michigan » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.