Abdul El-Sayed holds an 87.5% implied probability of carrying Kent County in the November 3, 2026, Michigan Senate general election against Mike Rogers at 12.5%. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination after a narrow August 4 primary victory over Haley Stevens, winning Kent County by 27 points amid strong support in Grand Rapids and surrounding areas that have trended left in recent cycles. Statewide polling averages show El-Sayed leading Rogers by 3–5 points in a tossup race for the open seat vacated by Gary Peters, with Kent County's mix of suburban and urban voters aligning more closely with Democratic primary patterns than broader Republican-leaning western Michigan. Minor-party and write-in options remain at even money but lack organized support to alter the two-candidate dynamic. Upcoming debates and fall advertising could still shift county-level margins before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
88%
Mike Rogers (R)
13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$46 Vol.
88%
Mike Rogers (R)
$45 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.Abdul El-Sayed holds an 87.5% implied probability of carrying Kent County in the November 3, 2026, Michigan Senate general election against Mike Rogers at 12.5%. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination after a narrow August 4 primary victory over Haley Stevens, winning Kent County by 27 points amid strong support in Grand Rapids and surrounding areas that have trended left in recent cycles. Statewide polling averages show El-Sayed leading Rogers by 3–5 points in a tossup race for the open seat vacated by Gary Peters, with Kent County's mix of suburban and urban voters aligning more closely with Democratic primary patterns than broader Republican-leaning western Michigan. Minor-party and write-in options remain at even money but lack organized support to alter the two-candidate dynamic. Upcoming debates and fall advertising could still shift county-level margins before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$92Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.Abdul El-Sayed holds an 87.5% implied probability of carrying Kent County in the November 3, 2026, Michigan Senate general election against Mike Rogers at 12.5%. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination after a narrow August 4 primary victory over Haley Stevens, winning Kent County by 27 points amid strong support in Grand Rapids and surrounding areas that have trended left in recent cycles. Statewide polling averages show El-Sayed leading Rogers by 3–5 points in a tossup race for the open seat vacated by Gary Peters, with Kent County's mix of suburban and urban voters aligning more closely with Democratic primary patterns than broader Republican-leaning western Michigan. Minor-party and write-in options remain at even money but lack organized support to alter the two-candidate dynamic. Upcoming debates and fall advertising could still shift county-level margins before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
Volume
$92Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Abdul El-Sayed holds an 87.5% implied probability of carrying Kent County in the November 3, 2026, Michigan Senate general election against Mike Rogers at 12.5%. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination after a narrow August 4 primary victory over Haley Stevens, winning Kent County by 27 points amid strong support in Grand Rapids and surrounding areas that have trended left in recent cycles. Statewide polling averages show El-Sayed leading Rogers by 3–5 points in a tossup race for the open seat vacated by Gary Peters, with Kent County's mix of suburban and urban voters aligning more closely with Democratic primary patterns than broader Republican-leaning western Michigan. Minor-party and write-in options remain at even money but lack organized support to alter the two-candidate dynamic. Upcoming debates and fall advertising could still shift county-level margins before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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