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icon for Élection au Sénat du Michigan : vainqueur du comté d'Oakland
Politique·Midterms

Élection au Sénat du Michigan : vainqueur du comté d'Oakland

icon for Élection au Sénat du Michigan : vainqueur du comté d'Oakland
Politique·Midterms

Élection au Sénat du Michigan : vainqueur du comté d'Oakland

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Abdul El-Sayed (D)

Abdul El-Sayed (D)

$549 Vol.

90%

icon for Mike Rogers (R)

Mike Rogers (R)

$300 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.Abdul El-Sayed's narrow August 4 Democratic primary victory over Haley Stevens, followed by his nomination for the open U.S. Senate seat, has positioned him as the clear frontrunner among traders for Oakland County in the November general election. Recent statewide polling shows El-Sayed holding a slim lead over Republican nominee Mike Rogers, with the suburban county's Democratic lean and El-Sayed's local ties reinforcing market pricing near 90%. Rogers's unopposed primary and fundraising edge have not shifted county-level expectations materially. Other listed candidates and minor-party options remain at lower implied probabilities due to limited viability in this two-candidate contest. Upcoming fall debates and campaign spending in the Detroit metro area represent the main variables that could still influence the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
Volume
$849
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 1:30 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.Abdul El-Sayed's narrow August 4 Democratic primary victory over Haley Stevens, followed by his nomination for the open U.S. Senate seat, has positioned him as the clear frontrunner among traders for Oakland County in the November general election. Recent statewide polling shows El-Sayed holding a slim lead over Republican nominee Mike Rogers, with the suburban county's Democratic lean and El-Sayed's local ties reinforcing market pricing near 90%. Rogers's unopposed primary and fundraising edge have not shifted county-level expectations materially. Other listed candidates and minor-party options remain at lower implied probabilities due to limited viability in this two-candidate contest. Upcoming fall debates and campaign spending in the Detroit metro area represent the main variables that could still influence the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
Volume
$849
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 1:30 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.

Connexes

icon for Les démocrates vont-ils gagner le comté de Kent lors de l'élection au Sénat du Michigan en 2026 ?

Les démocrates vont-ils gagner le comté de Kent lors de l'élection au Sénat du Michigan en 2026 ?

60%
Oui
icon for Les démocrates vont-ils gagner le comté de Genesee lors de l'élection au Sénat du Michigan en 2026 ?

Les démocrates vont-ils gagner le comté de Genesee lors de l'élection au Sénat du Michigan en 2026 ?

59%
Oui
icon for Le candidat du Parti démocrate gagnera-t-il l'élection sénatoriale du Michigan en 2026 avec une marge de 0 à 3 % ?

Le candidat du Parti démocrate gagnera-t-il l'élection sénatoriale du Michigan en 2026 avec une marge de 0 à 3 % ?

24%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat du Michigan : vainqueur du comté d'Oakland » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Abdul El-Sayed (D) » à 90%, suivi de « Mike Rogers (R) » à 8%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 90¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 90% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection au Sénat du Michigan : vainqueur du comté d'Oakland » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 1, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat du Michigan : vainqueur du comté d'Oakland », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat du Michigan : vainqueur du comté d'Oakland » est « Abdul El-Sayed (D) » à 90%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 90% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Mike Rogers (R) » à 8%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat du Michigan : vainqueur du comté d'Oakland » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.