Microsoft’s market capitalization, currently near $3.62 trillion following a record July 2026 surge on stronger Azure growth, reflects robust AI-driven cloud demand with Azure revenue expanding 40% year-over-year and the AI business reaching a $37 billion annualized run rate. Elevated capital expenditures of approximately $175 billion for calendar 2026 support infrastructure scaling yet pressure margins, creating balanced trader sentiment across market-cap brackets as investors weigh sustained revenue momentum against valuation multiples and competitive AI spending. The next earnings release on October 27 could shift implied probabilities depending on cloud metrics and forward guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour<2,50 T$ 0
2,50-3,00 T$ 0
3,00–3,50 T$ 0
3,50-4,00 T$ 0
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
<2,50 T$
-
2,50-3,00 T$
-
3,00–3,50 T$
-
3,50-4,00 T$
-
4,00-4,50 T$
-
4,50-5,00 T$
-
5,00 T$+
-
<2,50 T$ 0
2,50-3,00 T$ 0
3,00–3,50 T$ 0
3,50-4,00 T$ 0
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
<2,50 T$
$0 Vol.
-
2,50-3,00 T$
$0 Vol.
-
3,00–3,50 T$
$0 Vol.
-
3,50-4,00 T$
$0 Vol.
-
4,00-4,50 T$
$0 Vol.
-
4,50-5,00 T$
$0 Vol.
-
5,00 T$+
$0 Vol.
-
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Microsoft’s market capitalization, currently near $3.62 trillion following a record July 2026 surge on stronger Azure growth, reflects robust AI-driven cloud demand with Azure revenue expanding 40% year-over-year and the AI business reaching a $37 billion annualized run rate. Elevated capital expenditures of approximately $175 billion for calendar 2026 support infrastructure scaling yet pressure margins, creating balanced trader sentiment across market-cap brackets as investors weigh sustained revenue momentum against valuation multiples and competitive AI spending. The next earnings release on October 27 could shift implied probabilities depending on cloud metrics and forward guidance.
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Microsoft’s market capitalization, currently near $3.62 trillion following a record July 2026 surge on stronger Azure growth, reflects robust AI-driven cloud demand with Azure revenue expanding 40% year-over-year and the AI business reaching a $37 billion annualized run rate. Elevated capital expenditures of approximately $175 billion for calendar 2026 support infrastructure scaling yet pressure margins, creating balanced trader sentiment across market-cap brackets as investors weigh sustained revenue momentum against valuation multiples and competitive AI spending. The next earnings release on October 27 could shift implied probabilities depending on cloud metrics and forward guidance.
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$0Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft’s market capitalization, currently near $3.62 trillion following a record July 2026 surge on stronger Azure growth, reflects robust AI-driven cloud demand with Azure revenue expanding 40% year-over-year and the AI business reaching a $37 billion annualized run rate. Elevated capital expenditures of approximately $175 billion for calendar 2026 support infrastructure scaling yet pressure margins, creating balanced trader sentiment across market-cap brackets as investors weigh sustained revenue momentum against valuation multiples and competitive AI spending. The next earnings release on October 27 could shift implied probabilities depending on cloud metrics and forward guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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20%
Oui
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?
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La capitalisation boursière d'Apple sera-t-elle comprise entre 3,50 T$ et 4,00 T$ à la fin de 2026 ?
23%
Oui
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