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MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

icon for MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

Kevin McGonigle 88%

Munetaka Murakami 8.8%

Kazuma Okamoto 1.1%

Parker Messick 1.1%

Polymarket

$1,627,640 Vol.

Kevin McGonigle 88%

Munetaka Murakami 8.8%

Kazuma Okamoto 1.1%

Parker Messick 1.1%

Polymarket

$1,627,640 Vol.

Kevin McGonigle

$46,441 Vol.

88%

Munetaka Murakami

$59,915 Vol.

9%

Kazuma Okamoto

$229,704 Vol.

1%

Parker Messick

$1,667 Vol.

1%

Trey Yesavage

$3,128 Vol.

1%

Chase DeLauter

$4,625 Vol.

1%

Payton Tolle

$194,819 Vol.

1%

Travis Bazzana

$4,867 Vol.

1%

Spencer Jones

$37,922 Vol.

1%

Samuel Basallo

$2,344 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Lagrange

$65,425 Vol.

<1%

Connelly Early

$70,843 Vol.

<1%

Carter Jensen

$94,109 Vol.

<1%

Colt Emerson

$2,321 Vol.

<1%

Walker Jenkins

$62,838 Vol.

<1%

Brice Matthews

$140,327 Vol.

<1%

Leo De Vries

$111,290 Vol.

<1%

Sam Antonacci

$208 Vol.

<1%

Carson Williams

$429,820 Vol.

<1%

Max Clark

$62,505 Vol.

<1%

George Lombard Jr.

$228 Vol.

<1%

Tatsuya Imai

$833 Vol.

<1%

Dylan Beavers

$1,464 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kevin McGonigle's dominant position in the AL Rookie of the Year market stems from his standout 2026 performance as the Detroit Tigers' young shortstop. Through roughly 116 games, the 21-year-old leads AL rookies with a .285-.286 average, .389-.391 on-base percentage, elite walk rates exceeding strikeouts, and approximately 5.6 WAR, while ranking among position-player leaders in weighted runs created plus. His consistent production since a March debut, including All-Star selection and rising expert poll support, has shaped trader consensus around an 87.5% implied probability. Other factors such as Munetaka Murakami's power output or Parker Messick's pitching results have failed to close the gap. Late-season injury, prolonged slump, or an unexpected surge from a contender could still shift the outcome before voting concludes.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,627,640
Date de fin
19 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kevin McGonigle's dominant position in the AL Rookie of the Year market stems from his standout 2026 performance as the Detroit Tigers' young shortstop. Through roughly 116 games, the 21-year-old leads AL rookies with a .285-.286 average, .389-.391 on-base percentage, elite walk rates exceeding strikeouts, and approximately 5.6 WAR, while ranking among position-player leaders in weighted runs created plus. His consistent production since a March debut, including All-Star selection and rising expert poll support, has shaped trader consensus around an 87.5% implied probability. Other factors such as Munetaka Murakami's power output or Parker Messick's pitching results have failed to close the gap. Late-season injury, prolonged slump, or an unexpected surge from a contender could still shift the outcome before voting concludes.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,627,640
Date de fin
19 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« MLB: AL Rookie of the Year » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 23 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Kevin McGonigle » à 88%, suivi de « Munetaka Murakami » à 9%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 88¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 88% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « MLB: AL Rookie of the Year » a généré $1.6 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 26, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « MLB: AL Rookie of the Year », parcourez les 23 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « MLB: AL Rookie of the Year » est « Kevin McGonigle » à 88%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 88% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Munetaka Murakami » à 9%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « MLB: AL Rookie of the Year » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.