The MLB home run leader market shows a tightly contested race through mid-August 2026, with trader consensus assigning Kyle Schwarber the highest implied probability at 36.5 percent, followed closely by Yordan Alvarez at 30.8 percent. Ben Rice, Junior Caminero, and Matt Olson occupy the next tier between 15 and 18 percent, reflecting comparable power production and remaining schedule strength among the top contenders. This bunched pricing stems from multiple sluggers maintaining strong home-run paces amid varying team contexts, injury recoveries, and matchup advantages, leaving room for late surges or slumps to shift standings. Historical late-season variance in long-ball output further supports the narrow spreads separating the leaders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKyle Schwarber 37%
Yordan Alvarez 33.0%
Junior Caminero 15.6%
Ben Rice 4.2%
$3,130,982 Vol.
$3,130,982 Vol.
11 oct. 2026
Kyle Schwarber
37%
Yordan Alvarez
31%
Junior Caminero
16%
Ben Rice
18%
Matt Olson
16%
Munetaka Murakami
2%
Nick Kurtz
1%
James Wood
1%
George Springer
1%
Aaron Judge
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 37%
Yordan Alvarez 33.0%
Junior Caminero 15.6%
Ben Rice 4.2%
$3,130,982 Vol.
$3,130,982 Vol.
11 oct. 2026
Kyle Schwarber
$22,172 Vol.
37%
Yordan Alvarez
$9,662 Vol.
31%
Junior Caminero
$1,914 Vol.
16%
Ben Rice
$1,349 Vol.
18%
Matt Olson
$2,094 Vol.
16%
Munetaka Murakami
$7,806 Vol.
2%
Nick Kurtz
$1,488 Vol.
1%
James Wood
$2,534 Vol.
1%
George Springer
$508 Vol.
1%
Aaron Judge
$4,680 Vol.
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
$591 Vol.
1%
CJ Abrams
$203,640 Vol.
<1%
Juan Soto
$647,900 Vol.
<1%
Mike Trout
$1,747,976 Vol.
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
$654 Vol.
<1%
Sal Stewart
$630 Vol.
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
$866 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Walker
$586 Vol.
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
$591 Vol.
<1%
Brandon Lowe
$469,770 Vol.
<1%
Cal Raleigh
$684 Vol.
<1%
Pete Alonso
$390 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Devers
$611 Vol.
<1%
Shea Langeliers
$1,341 Vol.
<1%
Manny Machado
$547 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The MLB home run leader market shows a tightly contested race through mid-August 2026, with trader consensus assigning Kyle Schwarber the highest implied probability at 36.5 percent, followed closely by Yordan Alvarez at 30.8 percent. Ben Rice, Junior Caminero, and Matt Olson occupy the next tier between 15 and 18 percent, reflecting comparable power production and remaining schedule strength among the top contenders. This bunched pricing stems from multiple sluggers maintaining strong home-run paces amid varying team contexts, injury recoveries, and matchup advantages, leaving room for late surges or slumps to shift standings. Historical late-season variance in long-ball output further supports the narrow spreads separating the leaders.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Volume
$3,130,982Date de fin
28 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The MLB home run leader market shows a tightly contested race through mid-August 2026, with trader consensus assigning Kyle Schwarber the highest implied probability at 36.5 percent, followed closely by Yordan Alvarez at 30.8 percent. Ben Rice, Junior Caminero, and Matt Olson occupy the next tier between 15 and 18 percent, reflecting comparable power production and remaining schedule strength among the top contenders. This bunched pricing stems from multiple sluggers maintaining strong home-run paces amid varying team contexts, injury recoveries, and matchup advantages, leaving room for late surges or slumps to shift standings. Historical late-season variance in long-ball output further supports the narrow spreads separating the leaders.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,130,982Date de fin
28 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The MLB home run leader market shows a tightly contested race through mid-August 2026, with trader consensus assigning Kyle Schwarber the highest implied probability at 36.5 percent, followed closely by Yordan Alvarez at 30.8 percent. Ben Rice, Junior Caminero, and Matt Olson occupy the next tier between 15 and 18 percent, reflecting comparable power production and remaining schedule strength among the top contenders. This bunched pricing stems from multiple sluggers maintaining strong home-run paces amid varying team contexts, injury recoveries, and matchup advantages, leaving room for late surges or slumps to shift standings. Historical late-season variance in long-ball output further supports the narrow spreads separating the leaders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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