Microsoft's fiscal fourth-quarter earnings on July 29 delivered a strong beat, with revenue of $90.01 billion and adjusted EPS of $4.74 both exceeding consensus, driven by Azure cloud growth and AI momentum that prompted a more than 15% single-day share-price surge and $450 billion market-cap gain on July 30. The stock closed near $465 on July 31 amid elevated trading volume, reflecting improved sentiment after earlier 2026 underperformance. With the week of August 3 beginning immediately afterward, trader focus centers on follow-through momentum, any post-earnings analyst revisions, and broader tech-sector reactions to upcoming economic data. Market-implied odds will price in this recent catalyst while accounting for typical post-earnings volatility and potential shifts in risk appetite.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMicrosoft (MSFT) terminera-t-il la semaine du 3 août ci-dessus___ ?
$400
50%
$410
50%
$420
50%
$430
50%
$440
80%
$450
77%
$460
50%
$470
50%
$480
50%
$490
50%
$500
50%
$510
50%
$520
50%
$0.00 Vol.
$400
50%
$410
50%
$420
50%
$430
50%
$440
80%
$450
77%
$460
50%
$470
50%
$480
50%
$490
50%
$500
50%
$510
50%
$520
50%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Source de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft's fiscal fourth-quarter earnings on July 29 delivered a strong beat, with revenue of $90.01 billion and adjusted EPS of $4.74 both exceeding consensus, driven by Azure cloud growth and AI momentum that prompted a more than 15% single-day share-price surge and $450 billion market-cap gain on July 30. The stock closed near $465 on July 31 amid elevated trading volume, reflecting improved sentiment after earlier 2026 underperformance. With the week of August 3 beginning immediately afterward, trader focus centers on follow-through momentum, any post-earnings analyst revisions, and broader tech-sector reactions to upcoming economic data. Market-implied odds will price in this recent catalyst while accounting for typical post-earnings volatility and potential shifts in risk appetite.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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