**Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford remain locked in a toss-up contest for Nevada governor on November 3, with recent polling averages placing the race within roughly 1–4 points.** Ford, the state attorney general, has gained ground on economic messaging around housing costs, prescription drugs, and tariffs, highlighted by the Retail Association of Nevada’s recent endorsement switch from Lombardo. Lombardo emphasizes job growth and investment under his tenure while facing criticism over affordability and data-center incentives. A late-September Emerson poll showed Ford at 44% and Lombardo at 42% among likely voters, consistent with earlier surveys that found similar margins and sizable undecided shares. Demographic splits—Ford leading among Hispanic voters and women, Lombardo among white voters and men—combined with Nevada’s competitive electorate and economic pressures keep the implied probability of a narrow victory near even, with traders pricing the most likely outcomes in the 0–6% margin bands for either candidate. Upcoming campaign events and further economic data could still shift the balance before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFord 0-3% 29%
Lombardo 0-3 % 27%
Ford 3-6 % 17.6%
Lombardo 3-6 % 13.6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 juin 2027
Lombardo 12 %+
2%
Lombardo 9-12 %
3%
Lombardo 6-9 %
8%
Lombardo 3-6 %
14%
Lombardo 0-3 %
27%
Ford 0-3%
29%
Ford 3-6 %
18%
Ford 6-9 %
7%
Ford 9-12 %
2%
Ford 12 % +
<1%
Ford 0-3% 29%
Lombardo 0-3 % 27%
Ford 3-6 % 17.6%
Lombardo 3-6 % 13.6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 juin 2027
Lombardo 12 %+
$283 Vol.
2%
Lombardo 9-12 %
$458 Vol.
3%
Lombardo 6-9 %
$2,461 Vol.
8%
Lombardo 3-6 %
$1,104 Vol.
14%
Lombardo 0-3 %
$1,439 Vol.
27%
Ford 0-3%
$567 Vol.
29%
Ford 3-6 %
$747 Vol.
18%
Ford 6-9 %
$229 Vol.
7%
Ford 9-12 %
$283 Vol.
2%
Ford 12 % +
$290 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford remain locked in a toss-up contest for Nevada governor on November 3, with recent polling averages placing the race within roughly 1–4 points.**
Ford, the state attorney general, has gained ground on economic messaging around housing costs, prescription drugs, and tariffs, highlighted by the Retail Association of Nevada’s recent endorsement switch from Lombardo. Lombardo emphasizes job growth and investment under his tenure while facing criticism over affordability and data-center incentives. A late-September Emerson poll showed Ford at 44% and Lombardo at 42% among likely voters, consistent with earlier surveys that found similar margins and sizable undecided shares. Demographic splits—Ford leading among Hispanic voters and women, Lombardo among white voters and men—combined with Nevada’s competitive electorate and economic pressures keep the implied probability of a narrow victory near even, with traders pricing the most likely outcomes in the 0–6% margin bands for either candidate. Upcoming campaign events and further economic data could still shift the balance before Election Day.
The 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Volume
$7,860Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 4:18 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...The 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford remain locked in a toss-up contest for Nevada governor on November 3, with recent polling averages placing the race within roughly 1–4 points.**
Ford, the state attorney general, has gained ground on economic messaging around housing costs, prescription drugs, and tariffs, highlighted by the Retail Association of Nevada’s recent endorsement switch from Lombardo. Lombardo emphasizes job growth and investment under his tenure while facing criticism over affordability and data-center incentives. A late-September Emerson poll showed Ford at 44% and Lombardo at 42% among likely voters, consistent with earlier surveys that found similar margins and sizable undecided shares. Demographic splits—Ford leading among Hispanic voters and women, Lombardo among white voters and men—combined with Nevada’s competitive electorate and economic pressures keep the implied probability of a narrow victory near even, with traders pricing the most likely outcomes in the 0–6% margin bands for either candidate. Upcoming campaign events and further economic data could still shift the balance before Election Day.
The 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,860Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 4:18 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...**Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford remain locked in a toss-up contest for Nevada governor on November 3, with recent polling averages placing the race within roughly 1–4 points.** Ford, the state attorney general, has gained ground on economic messaging around housing costs, prescription drugs, and tariffs, highlighted by the Retail Association of Nevada’s recent endorsement switch from Lombardo. Lombardo emphasizes job growth and investment under his tenure while facing criticism over affordability and data-center incentives. A late-September Emerson poll showed Ford at 44% and Lombardo at 42% among likely voters, consistent with earlier surveys that found similar margins and sizable undecided shares. Demographic splits—Ford leading among Hispanic voters and women, Lombardo among white voters and men—combined with Nevada’s competitive electorate and economic pressures keep the implied probability of a narrow victory near even, with traders pricing the most likely outcomes in the 0–6% margin bands for either candidate. Upcoming campaign events and further economic data could still shift the balance before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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