The official launch of auditions for the next James Bond, overseen by veteran casting director Nina Gold for Amazon MGM Studios, has sharpened focus on Callum Turner as the clear market leader at 36% implied probability. The British actor’s recent profile—bolstered by strong turns in Masters of the Air and the Fantastic Beasts franchise—aligns with long-standing industry preferences for a suave, age-appropriate lead who can carry a global franchise. Jacob Elordi’s 8.5% share reflects early-May buzz around reported meetings with director Denis Villeneuve and his rising awards trajectory, while James Norton at 10% benefits from established British prestige. Aaron Taylor-Johnson and emerging audition names like Tom Francis add volatility, but the still-fluid process means outcomes hinge on upcoming screen tests and producer decisions rather than settled consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNext James Bond actor?
Callum Turner 34%
Robert James-Collier 10.8%
Tom Holland 10.5%
No Bond chosen 8%
Callum Turner
36%
Robert James-Collier
11%
Tom Holland
11%
No Bond chosen
8%
Jacob Elordi
7%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
6%
Josh O'Connor
6%
James Norton
5%
Harris Dickinson
4%
Jack Lowdon
4%
Henry Cavill
4%
Theo James
3%
Timothee Chalamet
3%
Michael B Jordan
3%
Tom Hardy
3%
Paul Mescal
3%
Pierce Brosnan
2%
Callum Turner 34%
Robert James-Collier 10.8%
Tom Holland 10.5%
No Bond chosen 8%
Callum Turner
36%
Robert James-Collier
11%
Tom Holland
11%
No Bond chosen
8%
Jacob Elordi
7%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
6%
Josh O'Connor
6%
James Norton
5%
Harris Dickinson
4%
Jack Lowdon
4%
Henry Cavill
4%
Theo James
3%
Timothee Chalamet
3%
Michael B Jordan
3%
Tom Hardy
3%
Paul Mescal
3%
Pierce Brosnan
2%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The official launch of auditions for the next James Bond, overseen by veteran casting director Nina Gold for Amazon MGM Studios, has sharpened focus on Callum Turner as the clear market leader at 36% implied probability. The British actor’s recent profile—bolstered by strong turns in Masters of the Air and the Fantastic Beasts franchise—aligns with long-standing industry preferences for a suave, age-appropriate lead who can carry a global franchise. Jacob Elordi’s 8.5% share reflects early-May buzz around reported meetings with director Denis Villeneuve and his rising awards trajectory, while James Norton at 10% benefits from established British prestige. Aaron Taylor-Johnson and emerging audition names like Tom Francis add volatility, but the still-fluid process means outcomes hinge on upcoming screen tests and producer decisions rather than settled consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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