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icon for Le prochain acteur de James Bond ?

Le prochain acteur de James Bond ?

icon for Le prochain acteur de James Bond ?

Le prochain acteur de James Bond ?

Jack Lowden 36.4%

Aucun Bond choisi 18.5%

Jack Barton 11.5%

Callum Turner 10.7%

Polymarket

$789,477 Vol.

Jack Lowden 36.4%

Aucun Bond choisi 18.5%

Jack Barton 11.5%

Callum Turner 10.7%

Polymarket

$789,477 Vol.

icon for Jack Lowden

Jack Lowden

$145,981 Vol.

36%

icon for Aucun Bond choisi

Aucun Bond choisi

$368,211 Vol.

19%

icon for Jack Barton

Jack Barton

$35,796 Vol.

12%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$59,842 Vol.

11%

icon for Tom Francis

Tom Francis

$8,795 Vol.

4%

icon for Jack O'Connell

Jack O'Connell

$16,131 Vol.

4%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$11,088 Vol.

4%

icon for Richard Madden

Richard Madden

$7,341 Vol.

2%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$8,426 Vol.

1%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$11,573 Vol.

1%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$18,210 Vol.

1%

icon for Timothee Chalamet

Timothee Chalamet

$6,338 Vol.

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$25,117 Vol.

1%

icon for Jonathan Bailey

Jonathan Bailey

$5,818 Vol.

1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$6,552 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$8,780 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Blyth

Tom Blyth

$2,733 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$11,502 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$5,601 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$5,725 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$6,467 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael B Jordan

Michael B Jordan

$3,397 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$5,915 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicholas Galitzine

Nicholas Galitzine

$4,140 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent comments from Gary Oldman and screenwriter Steven Knight have propelled Jack Lowden to the top of trader sentiment, with the *Slow Horses* star now implied as the clear frontrunner at 36.4 percent. Oldman publicly stated that a choice has been made but not announced and voiced support for his co-star, while Knight confirmed writing the next film with the actor already cast in mind. A shortlist of younger British performers—including Jack Barton, Callum Turner, Harris Dickinson, and Jacob Elordi—has narrowed after auditions and test deals, sidelining older names like Henry Cavill and Tom Hardy. Traders price "no selection yet" at 18.5 percent amid ongoing secrecy from Amazon MGM Studios, with an official reveal expected before year-end that could lock in or shift these probabilities.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$789,477
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent comments from Gary Oldman and screenwriter Steven Knight have propelled Jack Lowden to the top of trader sentiment, with the *Slow Horses* star now implied as the clear frontrunner at 36.4 percent. Oldman publicly stated that a choice has been made but not announced and voiced support for his co-star, while Knight confirmed writing the next film with the actor already cast in mind. A shortlist of younger British performers—including Jack Barton, Callum Turner, Harris Dickinson, and Jacob Elordi—has narrowed after auditions and test deals, sidelining older names like Henry Cavill and Tom Hardy. Traders price "no selection yet" at 18.5 percent amid ongoing secrecy from Amazon MGM Studios, with an official reveal expected before year-end that could lock in or shift these probabilities.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$789,477
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Inde Navarrette figurera-t-elle parmi les 5 acteurs les plus recherchés sur Google en 2026 ?

Inde Navarrette figurera-t-elle parmi les 5 acteurs les plus recherchés sur Google en 2026 ?

73%
Oui
icon for Inde Navarrette sera-t-elle l'actrice la plus recherchée sur Google cette année ?

Inde Navarrette sera-t-elle l'actrice la plus recherchée sur Google cette année ?

43%
Oui
icon for Gavin Newsom annoncera-t-il une candidature à la présidence avant 2027 ?

Gavin Newsom annoncera-t-il une candidature à la présidence avant 2027 ?

13%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 24 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Jack Lowden » à 36%, suivi de « Aucun Bond choisi » à 19%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 36¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » a généré $789.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 18, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? », parcourez les 24 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » est « Jack Lowden » à 36%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Aucun Bond choisi » à 19%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Le prochain acteur de James Bond ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.