Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding lead in New Jersey's 5th congressional district race, backed by the area's consistent Democratic lean, his five-term record, and unopposed primary status. Fundraising data shows Gottheimer with millions raised against Republican Sean Kirrane's minimal totals, reflecting limited challenger resources and visibility ahead of the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the 2024 margin and partisan voting index. Trader consensus around 91% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages, though late national shifts, turnout surges in suburban areas, or unexpected developments involving the candidates could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNJ-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NJ-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$16,302 Vol.
$16,302 Vol.
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
91%
Parti républicain
9%
$16,302 Vol.
$16,302 Vol.
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$14,001 Vol.
91%
Parti républicain
$2,301 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding lead in New Jersey's 5th congressional district race, backed by the area's consistent Democratic lean, his five-term record, and unopposed primary status. Fundraising data shows Gottheimer with millions raised against Republican Sean Kirrane's minimal totals, reflecting limited challenger resources and visibility ahead of the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the 2024 margin and partisan voting index. Trader consensus around 91% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages, though late national shifts, turnout surges in suburban areas, or unexpected developments involving the candidates could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$16,302Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding lead in New Jersey's 5th congressional district race, backed by the area's consistent Democratic lean, his five-term record, and unopposed primary status. Fundraising data shows Gottheimer with millions raised against Republican Sean Kirrane's minimal totals, reflecting limited challenger resources and visibility ahead of the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the 2024 margin and partisan voting index. Trader consensus around 91% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages, though late national shifts, turnout surges in suburban areas, or unexpected developments involving the candidates could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,302Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding lead in New Jersey's 5th congressional district race, backed by the area's consistent Democratic lean, his five-term record, and unopposed primary status. Fundraising data shows Gottheimer with millions raised against Republican Sean Kirrane's minimal totals, reflecting limited challenger resources and visibility ahead of the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the 2024 margin and partisan voting index. Trader consensus around 91% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages, though late national shifts, turnout surges in suburban areas, or unexpected developments involving the candidates could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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