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Sports·Échecs

Norway Chess 2026: Winner

icon for Norway Chess 2026: Winner
Sports·Échecs

Norway Chess 2026: Winner

Magnus Carlsen 65%

Alireza Firouzja 12%

Vincent Keymer 12%

Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 10%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Magnus Carlsen 65%

Alireza Firouzja 12%

Vincent Keymer 12%

Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 10%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Magnus Carlsen

$6,143 Vol.

65%

Alireza Firouzja

$151 Vol.

12%

Vincent Keymer

$191 Vol.

12%

Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu

$197 Vol.

10%

Gukesh Dommaraju

$106 Vol.

10%

Wesley So

$126 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to the player that wins the Norway Chess 2026 tournament scheduled for May 25 - June 5, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Magnus Carlsen’s status as world number one and seven-time Norway Chess champion anchors his 64.5% implied probability, reinforced by strong recent classical results including victories in the 2026 Chess.com Open and FIDE Freestyle World Championship. The field of six elite grandmasters—featuring current world champion Gukesh Dommaraju, rising talents Alireza Firouzja and Vincent Keymer, along with Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu and consistent performer Wesley So—competes in a double round-robin with Armageddon tiebreaks in Oslo from May 25 to June 5. Keymer’s rapid rating climb to fourth globally and Firouzja’s prior runner-up finishes support their secondary market shares, while the Indian duo’s youthful momentum and So’s steady elite presence keep their probabilities competitive yet lower. Home advantage and Carlsen’s historical edge in the event continue to shape trader consensus ahead of the May start.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the Norway Chess 2026 tournament scheduled for May 25 - June 5, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,914
Date de fin
6 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
May 11, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the Norway Chess 2026 tournament scheduled for May 25 - June 5, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the Norway Chess 2026 tournament scheduled for May 25 - June 5, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Magnus Carlsen’s status as world number one and seven-time Norway Chess champion anchors his 64.5% implied probability, reinforced by strong recent classical results including victories in the 2026 Chess.com Open and FIDE Freestyle World Championship. The field of six elite grandmasters—featuring current world champion Gukesh Dommaraju, rising talents Alireza Firouzja and Vincent Keymer, along with Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu and consistent performer Wesley So—competes in a double round-robin with Armageddon tiebreaks in Oslo from May 25 to June 5. Keymer’s rapid rating climb to fourth globally and Firouzja’s prior runner-up finishes support their secondary market shares, while the Indian duo’s youthful momentum and So’s steady elite presence keep their probabilities competitive yet lower. Home advantage and Carlsen’s historical edge in the event continue to shape trader consensus ahead of the May start.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the Norway Chess 2026 tournament scheduled for May 25 - June 5, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,914
Date de fin
6 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
May 11, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the Norway Chess 2026 tournament scheduled for May 25 - June 5, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Norway Chess 2026: Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Magnus Carlsen » à 65%, suivi de « Alireza Firouzja » à 12%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 65¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 65% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Norway Chess 2026: Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le May 12, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Norway Chess 2026: Winner », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Norway Chess 2026: Winner » est « Magnus Carlsen » à 65%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 65% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Alireza Firouzja » à 12%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Norway Chess 2026: Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.