Closely matched probabilities across Nvidia’s end-2026 market cap ranges reflect uncertainty over whether explosive AI infrastructure spending will sustain the company’s current ~$5.4 trillion valuation through year-end. Strong Q2 FY2027 results, with $96.2 billion in revenue and 70% FY2028 growth guidance tied to Rubin platform ramp, support the upper bins, yet hyperscalers’ custom chips from Google, Amazon, and Microsoft plus AMD’s inference gains create downside pressure. Export controls, supply constraints, and potential capex moderation remain key swing factors that could shift sentiment in either direction before December 31.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour5,50-6,00 T$ 19%
5,00-5,50 T$ 17%
6,00-6,50 T$ 17%
6,50 T$+ 16%
$13,437 Vol.
$13,437 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
<4,00 T$
6%
4,00–4,50 T$
8%
4,50-5,00 T$
15%
5,00-5,50 T$
17%
5,50-6,00 T$
19%
6,00-6,50 T$
17%
6,50 T$+
16%
5,50-6,00 T$ 19%
5,00-5,50 T$ 17%
6,00-6,50 T$ 17%
6,50 T$+ 16%
$13,437 Vol.
$13,437 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
<4,00 T$
$3,033 Vol.
6%
4,00–4,50 T$
$904 Vol.
8%
4,50-5,00 T$
$923 Vol.
15%
5,00-5,50 T$
$2,174 Vol.
17%
5,50-6,00 T$
$3,407 Vol.
19%
6,00-6,50 T$
$1,297 Vol.
17%
6,50 T$+
$1,699 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Closely matched probabilities across Nvidia’s end-2026 market cap ranges reflect uncertainty over whether explosive AI infrastructure spending will sustain the company’s current ~$5.4 trillion valuation through year-end. Strong Q2 FY2027 results, with $96.2 billion in revenue and 70% FY2028 growth guidance tied to Rubin platform ramp, support the upper bins, yet hyperscalers’ custom chips from Google, Amazon, and Microsoft plus AMD’s inference gains create downside pressure. Export controls, supply constraints, and potential capex moderation remain key swing factors that could shift sentiment in either direction before December 31.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
Volume
$13,437Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Closely matched probabilities across Nvidia’s end-2026 market cap ranges reflect uncertainty over whether explosive AI infrastructure spending will sustain the company’s current ~$5.4 trillion valuation through year-end. Strong Q2 FY2027 results, with $96.2 billion in revenue and 70% FY2028 growth guidance tied to Rubin platform ramp, support the upper bins, yet hyperscalers’ custom chips from Google, Amazon, and Microsoft plus AMD’s inference gains create downside pressure. Export controls, supply constraints, and potential capex moderation remain key swing factors that could shift sentiment in either direction before December 31.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$13,437Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Closely matched probabilities across Nvidia’s end-2026 market cap ranges reflect uncertainty over whether explosive AI infrastructure spending will sustain the company’s current ~$5.4 trillion valuation through year-end. Strong Q2 FY2027 results, with $96.2 billion in revenue and 70% FY2028 growth guidance tied to Rubin platform ramp, support the upper bins, yet hyperscalers’ custom chips from Google, Amazon, and Microsoft plus AMD’s inference gains create downside pressure. Export controls, supply constraints, and potential capex moderation remain key swing factors that could shift sentiment in either direction before December 31.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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29%
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