Nvidia's current ~$5 trillion market capitalization reflects sustained AI accelerator demand, including a $500 billion backlog in bookings through 2026 for Blackwell systems, yet trader sentiment remains split across mid-range outcomes due to intensifying competition. Hyperscalers are ramping custom silicon that has already trimmed Nvidia's AI chip share from prior peaks, while broader capex caution among cloud providers introduces downside risk below $4.5 trillion. Offsetting factors include expected revenue growth from next-generation platforms like Vera Rubin and expanding enterprise adoption of large language models, which could push the valuation toward or above $5.5 trillion by year-end. The tight clustering of probabilities around $4–6 trillion underscores uncertainty over whether Nvidia's platform advantages will outpace rivals' in-house alternatives amid rapid industry shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa capitalisation boursière de Nvidia à la fin de 2026 ?
La capitalisation boursière de Nvidia à la fin de 2026 ?
5,00-5,50 T$ 26%
<4,00 T$ 20%
4,00–4,50 T$ 18%
5,50-6,00 T$ 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
<4,00 T$
27%
4,00–4,50 T$
26%
4,50-5,00 T$
28%
5,00-5,50 T$
26%
5,50-6,00 T$
27%
6,00-6,50 T$
22%
6,50 T$+
18%
5,00-5,50 T$ 26%
<4,00 T$ 20%
4,00–4,50 T$ 18%
5,50-6,00 T$ 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
<4,00 T$
$68 Vol.
27%
4,00–4,50 T$
$95 Vol.
26%
4,50-5,00 T$
$61 Vol.
28%
5,00-5,50 T$
$0 Vol.
26%
5,50-6,00 T$
$26 Vol.
27%
6,00-6,50 T$
$32 Vol.
22%
6,50 T$+
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia's current ~$5 trillion market capitalization reflects sustained AI accelerator demand, including a $500 billion backlog in bookings through 2026 for Blackwell systems, yet trader sentiment remains split across mid-range outcomes due to intensifying competition. Hyperscalers are ramping custom silicon that has already trimmed Nvidia's AI chip share from prior peaks, while broader capex caution among cloud providers introduces downside risk below $4.5 trillion. Offsetting factors include expected revenue growth from next-generation platforms like Vera Rubin and expanding enterprise adoption of large language models, which could push the valuation toward or above $5.5 trillion by year-end. The tight clustering of probabilities around $4–6 trillion underscores uncertainty over whether Nvidia's platform advantages will outpace rivals' in-house alternatives amid rapid industry shifts.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
Volume
$282Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia's current ~$5 trillion market capitalization reflects sustained AI accelerator demand, including a $500 billion backlog in bookings through 2026 for Blackwell systems, yet trader sentiment remains split across mid-range outcomes due to intensifying competition. Hyperscalers are ramping custom silicon that has already trimmed Nvidia's AI chip share from prior peaks, while broader capex caution among cloud providers introduces downside risk below $4.5 trillion. Offsetting factors include expected revenue growth from next-generation platforms like Vera Rubin and expanding enterprise adoption of large language models, which could push the valuation toward or above $5.5 trillion by year-end. The tight clustering of probabilities around $4–6 trillion underscores uncertainty over whether Nvidia's platform advantages will outpace rivals' in-house alternatives amid rapid industry shifts.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$282Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nvidia's current ~$5 trillion market capitalization reflects sustained AI accelerator demand, including a $500 billion backlog in bookings through 2026 for Blackwell systems, yet trader sentiment remains split across mid-range outcomes due to intensifying competition. Hyperscalers are ramping custom silicon that has already trimmed Nvidia's AI chip share from prior peaks, while broader capex caution among cloud providers introduces downside risk below $4.5 trillion. Offsetting factors include expected revenue growth from next-generation platforms like Vera Rubin and expanding enterprise adoption of large language models, which could push the valuation toward or above $5.5 trillion by year-end. The tight clustering of probabilities around $4–6 trillion underscores uncertainty over whether Nvidia's platform advantages will outpace rivals' in-house alternatives amid rapid industry shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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46%
Oui
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Oui
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