Brad Lander's commanding victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York's 10th Congressional District has anchored trader consensus around a margin exceeding 30 points. Official projections showed Lander securing roughly 66 percent to incumbent Dan Goldman's 34 percent, reflecting strong progressive support, endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, and voter divisions over foreign policy and party leadership. Pre-primary polling already indicated double-digit leads that widened into Election Night results consistent with that scale. With certification pending, traders assign overwhelming probability to the 30 percent-plus outcome, though scenarios such as final ballot tabulation adjustments or procedural reviews remain the only realistic paths to a narrower reported margin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLander +30 % 98.4%
Lander <10 % 2.9%
Lander 20–30 % 2.8%
Lander 10–20 % <1%
$75,569 Vol.
$75,569 Vol.
23 juin 2026
Lander +30 %
98%
Lander 20–30 %
3%
Lander 10–20 %
<1%
Lander <10 %
3%
Autre
<1%
Lander +30 % 98.4%
Lander <10 % 2.9%
Lander 20–30 % 2.8%
Lander 10–20 % <1%
$75,569 Vol.
$75,569 Vol.
23 juin 2026
Lander +30 %
$47,042 Vol.
98%
Lander 20–30 %
$9,382 Vol.
3%
Lander 10–20 %
$12,598 Vol.
<1%
Lander <10 %
$3,360 Vol.
3%
Autre
$2,075 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Brad Lander's commanding victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York's 10th Congressional District has anchored trader consensus around a margin exceeding 30 points. Official projections showed Lander securing roughly 66 percent to incumbent Dan Goldman's 34 percent, reflecting strong progressive support, endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, and voter divisions over foreign policy and party leadership. Pre-primary polling already indicated double-digit leads that widened into Election Night results consistent with that scale. With certification pending, traders assign overwhelming probability to the 30 percent-plus outcome, though scenarios such as final ballot tabulation adjustments or procedural reviews remain the only realistic paths to a narrower reported margin.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Marché ouvert : Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ET
Volume
$75,569Date de fin
23 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Brad Lander's commanding victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York's 10th Congressional District has anchored trader consensus around a margin exceeding 30 points. Official projections showed Lander securing roughly 66 percent to incumbent Dan Goldman's 34 percent, reflecting strong progressive support, endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, and voter divisions over foreign policy and party leadership. Pre-primary polling already indicated double-digit leads that widened into Election Night results consistent with that scale. With certification pending, traders assign overwhelming probability to the 30 percent-plus outcome, though scenarios such as final ballot tabulation adjustments or procedural reviews remain the only realistic paths to a narrower reported margin.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$75,569Date de fin
23 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brad Lander's commanding victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York's 10th Congressional District has anchored trader consensus around a margin exceeding 30 points. Official projections showed Lander securing roughly 66 percent to incumbent Dan Goldman's 34 percent, reflecting strong progressive support, endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, and voter divisions over foreign policy and party leadership. Pre-primary polling already indicated double-digit leads that widened into Election Night results consistent with that scale. With certification pending, traders assign overwhelming probability to the 30 percent-plus outcome, though scenarios such as final ballot tabulation adjustments or procedural reviews remain the only realistic paths to a narrower reported margin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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