Incumbent Democratic Rep. Emilia Sykes holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 13th District after the October 2025 redistricting deal strengthened the Akron-area seat’s Democratic lean. The revised map added favorable territory while the district’s underlying partisan voting index favors Democrats, limiting Republican crossover potential. Sykes advanced easily through the May 2026 Democratic primary, while the Republican nominee Carey Coleman has not generated significant momentum or outside support. Trader consensus reflected in the 93% Democratic probability captures the structural advantages of incumbency, limited competition, and the absence of major scandals or polling shifts that would typically alter such a race. A late national Republican surge, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen legal development could still narrow the gap before November 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre OH-13
$15,943 Vol.
$15,943 Vol.
Parti démocrate
93%
Parti républicain
8%
$15,943 Vol.
$15,943 Vol.
Parti démocrate
93%
Parti républicain
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Emilia Sykes holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 13th District after the October 2025 redistricting deal strengthened the Akron-area seat’s Democratic lean. The revised map added favorable territory while the district’s underlying partisan voting index favors Democrats, limiting Republican crossover potential. Sykes advanced easily through the May 2026 Democratic primary, while the Republican nominee Carey Coleman has not generated significant momentum or outside support. Trader consensus reflected in the 93% Democratic probability captures the structural advantages of incumbency, limited competition, and the absence of major scandals or polling shifts that would typically alter such a race. A late national Republican surge, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen legal development could still narrow the gap before November 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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