OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors trader expectations for an IPO market cap near or above $1 trillion, with the company’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and reported $1 trillion-plus target supporting the combined 78.7% probability on outcomes above $1 trillion. Strong revenue growth—now exceeding $2 billion monthly with enterprise contributing over 40%—and backing from Microsoft, Nvidia, and SoftBank reinforce bullish sentiment, though persistent cash burn, the need for non-profit restructuring, and reports of a potential 2027 listing versus late-2026 debut introduce the 9.5% “no IPO by end-2027” risk and compress odds on sub-$750 billion outcomes. Market-implied odds thus price in continued AI momentum tempered by execution and timing uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour1,5 T$+ 34.7%
1,25 B–1,5 B 23%
1 billion–1,25 billion 21.1%
750 Md$–1 Bn$ 11%
$87,962 Vol.
$87,962 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<500 Md$
1%
500–750 Md$
3%
750 Md$–1 Bn$
11%
1 billion–1,25 billion
21%
1,25 B–1,5 B
23%
1,5 T$+
35%
Aucune introduction en bourse avant le 31 décembre 2027
10%
1,5 T$+ 34.7%
1,25 B–1,5 B 23%
1 billion–1,25 billion 21.1%
750 Md$–1 Bn$ 11%
$87,962 Vol.
$87,962 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<500 Md$
$6,134 Vol.
1%
500–750 Md$
$8,207 Vol.
3%
750 Md$–1 Bn$
$9,178 Vol.
11%
1 billion–1,25 billion
$13,974 Vol.
21%
1,25 B–1,5 B
$8,531 Vol.
23%
1,5 T$+
$22,606 Vol.
35%
Aucune introduction en bourse avant le 31 décembre 2027
$19,333 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors trader expectations for an IPO market cap near or above $1 trillion, with the company’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and reported $1 trillion-plus target supporting the combined 78.7% probability on outcomes above $1 trillion. Strong revenue growth—now exceeding $2 billion monthly with enterprise contributing over 40%—and backing from Microsoft, Nvidia, and SoftBank reinforce bullish sentiment, though persistent cash burn, the need for non-profit restructuring, and reports of a potential 2027 listing versus late-2026 debut introduce the 9.5% “no IPO by end-2027” risk and compress odds on sub-$750 billion outcomes. Market-implied odds thus price in continued AI momentum tempered by execution and timing uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$87,962Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors trader expectations for an IPO market cap near or above $1 trillion, with the company’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and reported $1 trillion-plus target supporting the combined 78.7% probability on outcomes above $1 trillion. Strong revenue growth—now exceeding $2 billion monthly with enterprise contributing over 40%—and backing from Microsoft, Nvidia, and SoftBank reinforce bullish sentiment, though persistent cash burn, the need for non-profit restructuring, and reports of a potential 2027 listing versus late-2026 debut introduce the 9.5% “no IPO by end-2027” risk and compress odds on sub-$750 billion outcomes. Market-implied odds thus price in continued AI momentum tempered by execution and timing uncertainty.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$87,962Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors trader expectations for an IPO market cap near or above $1 trillion, with the company’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and reported $1 trillion-plus target supporting the combined 78.7% probability on outcomes above $1 trillion. Strong revenue growth—now exceeding $2 billion monthly with enterprise contributing over 40%—and backing from Microsoft, Nvidia, and SoftBank reinforce bullish sentiment, though persistent cash burn, the need for non-profit restructuring, and reports of a potential 2027 listing versus late-2026 debut introduce the 9.5% “no IPO by end-2027” risk and compress odds on sub-$750 billion outcomes. Market-implied odds thus price in continued AI momentum tempered by execution and timing uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes