Early in the 2026 awards cycle for the 2027 Oscars, the Best Supporting Actress market remains wide open, with no dominant frontrunner and implied probabilities clustered around 38% or lower for named contenders. Anne Hathaway leads at 38% on the strength of anticipated high-profile work and historical voter familiarity, while Penélope Cruz sits at 15% amid ongoing industry regard for her dramatic range. Lower-priced options such as Zendaya, Sandra Hüller, and Margaret Qualley reflect scattered early buzz from recent or upcoming releases, though guild nominations and critics' awards have yet to consolidate momentum. Traders price in significant uncertainty ahead of fall festival premieres, precursor voting, and eventual Academy ballots, where late surges or snubs often reshape the field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOscars 2027 : Meilleure actrice dans un second rôle
Oscars 2027 : Meilleure actrice dans un second rôle
Anne Hathaway 40%
Penélope Cruz 16%
Mariana di Girolamo 7.5%
Zendaya 5.9%
$18,344 Vol.
$18,344 Vol.
30 juin 2027
Anne Hathaway
40%
Penélope Cruz
16%
Mariana di Girolamo
8%
Zendaya
6%
Betty Gilpin
6%
Sandra Hüller
5%
Margaret Qualley
5%
Tao Okamoto
4%
Parker Posey
3%
Isabella Rossellini
3%
Danielle Deadwyler
3%
Inde Navarrette
2%
Gemma Chan
2%
Anne Hathaway 40%
Penélope Cruz 16%
Mariana di Girolamo 7.5%
Zendaya 5.9%
$18,344 Vol.
$18,344 Vol.
30 juin 2027
Anne Hathaway
$14,226 Vol.
40%
Penélope Cruz
$1,279 Vol.
16%
Mariana di Girolamo
$286 Vol.
8%
Zendaya
$213 Vol.
6%
Betty Gilpin
$256 Vol.
6%
Sandra Hüller
$444 Vol.
5%
Margaret Qualley
$243 Vol.
5%
Tao Okamoto
$191 Vol.
4%
Parker Posey
$292 Vol.
3%
Isabella Rossellini
$70 Vol.
3%
Danielle Deadwyler
$222 Vol.
3%
Inde Navarrette
$492 Vol.
2%
Gemma Chan
$130 Vol.
2%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early in the 2026 awards cycle for the 2027 Oscars, the Best Supporting Actress market remains wide open, with no dominant frontrunner and implied probabilities clustered around 38% or lower for named contenders. Anne Hathaway leads at 38% on the strength of anticipated high-profile work and historical voter familiarity, while Penélope Cruz sits at 15% amid ongoing industry regard for her dramatic range. Lower-priced options such as Zendaya, Sandra Hüller, and Margaret Qualley reflect scattered early buzz from recent or upcoming releases, though guild nominations and critics' awards have yet to consolidate momentum. Traders price in significant uncertainty ahead of fall festival premieres, precursor voting, and eventual Academy ballots, where late surges or snubs often reshape the field.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$18,344Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early in the 2026 awards cycle for the 2027 Oscars, the Best Supporting Actress market remains wide open, with no dominant frontrunner and implied probabilities clustered around 38% or lower for named contenders. Anne Hathaway leads at 38% on the strength of anticipated high-profile work and historical voter familiarity, while Penélope Cruz sits at 15% amid ongoing industry regard for her dramatic range. Lower-priced options such as Zendaya, Sandra Hüller, and Margaret Qualley reflect scattered early buzz from recent or upcoming releases, though guild nominations and critics' awards have yet to consolidate momentum. Traders price in significant uncertainty ahead of fall festival premieres, precursor voting, and eventual Academy ballots, where late surges or snubs often reshape the field.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,344Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Early in the 2026 awards cycle for the 2027 Oscars, the Best Supporting Actress market remains wide open, with no dominant frontrunner and implied probabilities clustered around 38% or lower for named contenders. Anne Hathaway leads at 38% on the strength of anticipated high-profile work and historical voter familiarity, while Penélope Cruz sits at 15% amid ongoing industry regard for her dramatic range. Lower-priced options such as Zendaya, Sandra Hüller, and Margaret Qualley reflect scattered early buzz from recent or upcoming releases, though guild nominations and critics' awards have yet to consolidate momentum. Traders price in significant uncertainty ahead of fall festival premieres, precursor voting, and eventual Academy ballots, where late surges or snubs often reshape the field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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