The trader consensus reflects a wide-open 2026 PGA Championship field, with Rory McIlroy holding the highest implied probability at 25.1 percent due to his major championship experience and strong recent ball-striking form. Matti Schmid, Jon Rahm, Ludvig Åberg, and Cameron Smith follow as the next tier, differentiated by consistent PGA Tour results, course-management skills on demanding layouts like Quail Hollow, and recent top finishes that signal momentum heading into the event. Lower probabilities assigned to players such as Nick Taylor and Xander Schauffele underscore how factors including current rankings, historical major performance, and rest advantages shape these dispersed odds across the field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRory McIlroy 23.9%
Matti Schmid 16.6%
Jon Rahm 15.0%
Nick Taylor 13.1%
$7,391,902 Vol.
$7,391,902 Vol.
Rory McIlroy
24%
Matti Schmid
17%
Jon Rahm
15%
Nick Taylor
13%
Cameron Smith
11%
Ludvig Aberg
7%
Alex Smalley
6%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Justin Thomas
3%
Aaron Rai
2%
Justin Rose
1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Rory McIlroy 23.9%
Matti Schmid 16.6%
Jon Rahm 15.0%
Nick Taylor 13.1%
$7,391,902 Vol.
$7,391,902 Vol.
Rory McIlroy
24%
Matti Schmid
17%
Jon Rahm
15%
Nick Taylor
13%
Cameron Smith
11%
Ludvig Aberg
7%
Alex Smalley
6%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Justin Thomas
3%
Aaron Rai
2%
Justin Rose
1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The trader consensus reflects a wide-open 2026 PGA Championship field, with Rory McIlroy holding the highest implied probability at 25.1 percent due to his major championship experience and strong recent ball-striking form. Matti Schmid, Jon Rahm, Ludvig Åberg, and Cameron Smith follow as the next tier, differentiated by consistent PGA Tour results, course-management skills on demanding layouts like Quail Hollow, and recent top finishes that signal momentum heading into the event. Lower probabilities assigned to players such as Nick Taylor and Xander Schauffele underscore how factors including current rankings, historical major performance, and rest advantages shape these dispersed odds across the field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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