The tightly bunched leaderboard after two rounds at Aronimink Golf Club has driven the competitive dynamics in this PGA Championship winner market, with co-leaders Alex Smalley and Maverick McNealy at 4-under par holding the highest implied probabilities amid a field where 58 players sit within six shots of the lead. Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, and Ludvig Åberg remain close behind and retain strong trader support due to their consistent ball-striking, recent form, and proven major-championship resilience despite trailing by a stroke or two. The lack of separation at this stage, combined with favorable weekend conditions for aggressive play, sustains the bunched probabilities across the top contenders while underscoring the realistic upset potential for any player in the mix.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAlex Smalley 16.0%
Jon Rahm 14.5%
Rory McIlroy 12.8%
Ludvig Aberg 12.2%
$5,078,322 Vol.
$5,078,322 Vol.
Alex Smalley
16%
Jon Rahm
14%
Rory McIlroy
13%
Ludvig Aberg
12%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Aaron Rai
5%
Nick Taylor
5%
Scottie Scheffler
5%
Maverick McNealy
4%
Patrick Reed
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Justin Rose
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Harris English
1%
Elvis Smylie
1%
David Puig
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Alex Smalley 16.0%
Jon Rahm 14.5%
Rory McIlroy 12.8%
Ludvig Aberg 12.2%
$5,078,322 Vol.
$5,078,322 Vol.
Alex Smalley
16%
Jon Rahm
14%
Rory McIlroy
13%
Ludvig Aberg
12%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Aaron Rai
5%
Nick Taylor
5%
Scottie Scheffler
5%
Maverick McNealy
4%
Patrick Reed
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Justin Rose
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Harris English
1%
Elvis Smylie
1%
David Puig
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly bunched leaderboard after two rounds at Aronimink Golf Club has driven the competitive dynamics in this PGA Championship winner market, with co-leaders Alex Smalley and Maverick McNealy at 4-under par holding the highest implied probabilities amid a field where 58 players sit within six shots of the lead. Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, and Ludvig Åberg remain close behind and retain strong trader support due to their consistent ball-striking, recent form, and proven major-championship resilience despite trailing by a stroke or two. The lack of separation at this stage, combined with favorable weekend conditions for aggressive play, sustains the bunched probabilities across the top contenders while underscoring the realistic upset potential for any player in the mix.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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