The tightly bunched implied probabilities among top contenders for the 2026 PGA Championship reflect a wide-open major where recent form, course history, and major pedigree keep several players within striking distance. Alex Smalley leads the trader consensus at 17.2 percent, narrowly ahead of Jon Rahm at 16.7 percent, Ludvig Aberg at 14.8 percent, and Rory McIlroy at 13.8 percent, illustrating how the wisdom of crowds prices the field when no single golfer has pulled away. Strong season-long momentum, prior major results, and the demands of a demanding stroke-play layout continue to compress the odds at the top, leaving room for late leaderboard movement or strong final-round surges to reshape the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAlex Smalley 17.1%
Jon Rahm 16.7%
Ludvig Aberg 14.8%
Rory McIlroy 13.5%
$6,562,194 Vol.
$6,562,194 Vol.
18 mai 2026
Alex Smalley
17%
Jon Rahm
17%
Ludvig Aberg
15%
Rory McIlroy
13%
Xander Schauffele
8%
Nick Taylor
5%
Aaron Rai
5%
Patrick Reed
4%
Justin Rose
4%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
3%
Joaquin Niemann
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Scottie Scheffler
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Harris English
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Alex Smalley 17.1%
Jon Rahm 16.7%
Ludvig Aberg 14.8%
Rory McIlroy 13.5%
$6,562,194 Vol.
$6,562,194 Vol.
18 mai 2026
Alex Smalley
$271,646 Vol.
17%
Jon Rahm
$295,700 Vol.
17%
Ludvig Aberg
$179,958 Vol.
15%
Rory McIlroy
$492,855 Vol.
13%
Xander Schauffele
$371,759 Vol.
8%
Nick Taylor
$147,254 Vol.
5%
Aaron Rai
$76,490 Vol.
5%
Patrick Reed
$107,034 Vol.
4%
Justin Rose
$132,750 Vol.
4%
Maverick McNealy
$71,427 Vol.
3%
Matti Schmid
$82,551 Vol.
3%
Chris Gotterup
$114,847 Vol.
3%
Joaquin Niemann
$59,834 Vol.
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
$138,209 Vol.
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
$116,684 Vol.
1%
Scottie Scheffler
$699,372 Vol.
1%
Cameron Smith
$59,805 Vol.
1%
Ben Griffin
$47,007 Vol.
1%
Harris English
$55,887 Vol.
1%
Justin Thomas
$116,508 Vol.
1%
Bud Cauley
$41,655 Vol.
1%
Min Woo Lee
$163,994 Vol.
1%
Andrew Novak
$935 Vol.
1%
Brooks Koepka
$120,969 Vol.
<1%
Rickie Fowler
$88,033 Vol.
<1%
Sam Burns
$53,714 Vol.
<1%
David Puig
$57,055 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Spieth
$91,722 Vol.
<1%
Brian Harman
$2,486 Vol.
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$161,801 Vol.
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
$66,525 Vol.
<1%
Si Woo Kim
$61,267 Vol.
<1%
Cameron Young
$292,132 Vol.
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
$72,794 Vol.
<1%
Collin Morikawa
$210,723 Vol.
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
$134,675 Vol.
<1%
Shane Lowry
$74,556 Vol.
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
$54,789 Vol.
<1%
Alex Noren
$4,596 Vol.
<1%
Corey Conners
$45,221 Vol.
<1%
Haotong Li
$195,000 Vol.
<1%
Sam Stevens
$39,906 Vol.
<1%
Sahith Theegala
$54,523 Vol.
<1%
Michael Brennan
$14,720 Vol.
<1%
Ryan Fox
$6,101 Vol.
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
$48,170 Vol.
<1%
John Keefer
$1,305 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Putnam
$5,544 Vol.
<1%
Sami Valimaki
$1,835 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Brown
$8,963 Vol.
<1%
Jason Day
$48,263 Vol.
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
$1,848 Vol.
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
$103,305 Vol.
<1%
Matt Wallace
$1,165 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Berger
$26,588 Vol.
<1%
Ryan Gerard
$21,069 Vol.
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
$86,198 Vol.
<1%
Dustin Johnson
$21,736 Vol.
<1%
Keith Mitchell
$1,956 Vol.
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
$4,146 Vol.
<1%
John Parry
$877 Vol.
<1%
Elvis Smylie
$1,759 Vol.
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly bunched implied probabilities among top contenders for the 2026 PGA Championship reflect a wide-open major where recent form, course history, and major pedigree keep several players within striking distance. Alex Smalley leads the trader consensus at 17.2 percent, narrowly ahead of Jon Rahm at 16.7 percent, Ludvig Aberg at 14.8 percent, and Rory McIlroy at 13.8 percent, illustrating how the wisdom of crowds prices the field when no single golfer has pulled away. Strong season-long momentum, prior major results, and the demands of a demanding stroke-play layout continue to compress the odds at the top, leaving room for late leaderboard movement or strong final-round surges to reshape the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Volume
$6,562,194Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly bunched implied probabilities among top contenders for the 2026 PGA Championship reflect a wide-open major where recent form, course history, and major pedigree keep several players within striking distance. Alex Smalley leads the trader consensus at 17.2 percent, narrowly ahead of Jon Rahm at 16.7 percent, Ludvig Aberg at 14.8 percent, and Rory McIlroy at 13.8 percent, illustrating how the wisdom of crowds prices the field when no single golfer has pulled away. Strong season-long momentum, prior major results, and the demands of a demanding stroke-play layout continue to compress the odds at the top, leaving room for late leaderboard movement or strong final-round surges to reshape the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,562,194Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly bunched implied probabilities among top contenders for the 2026 PGA Championship reflect a wide-open major where recent form, course history, and major pedigree keep several players within striking distance. Alex Smalley leads the trader consensus at 17.2 percent, narrowly ahead of Jon Rahm at 16.7 percent, Ludvig Aberg at 14.8 percent, and Rory McIlroy at 13.8 percent, illustrating how the wisdom of crowds prices the field when no single golfer has pulled away. Strong season-long momentum, prior major results, and the demands of a demanding stroke-play layout continue to compress the odds at the top, leaving room for late leaderboard movement or strong final-round surges to reshape the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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