Trader consensus positions Aaron Rai as the frontrunner for the 2026 PGA Championship, reflecting his recent PGA Tour form and strong season-long results entering the major. Jon Rahm draws the next tier of implied probability due to his proven major pedigree and consistent contention in high-stakes events. The broad distribution across the rest of the field highlights golf's inherent unpredictability, where course conditions at the host venue, weather variables, player health, and head-to-head historical matchups can rapidly alter outcomes. This pricing captures crowd-sourced assessment of current rankings, recent momentum, and situational factors typical for PGA Championship fields.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAaron Rai 59.5%
Jon Rahm 21.9%
Matti Schmid 8.0%
Rory McIlroy 3.9%
$7,997,787 Vol.
$7,997,787 Vol.
Aaron Rai
60%
Jon Rahm
22%
Matti Schmid
8%
Rory McIlroy
4%
Alex Smalley
3%
Justin Thomas
3%
Nick Taylor
2%
Ludvig Aberg
2%
Xander Schauffele
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Aaron Rai 59.5%
Jon Rahm 21.9%
Matti Schmid 8.0%
Rory McIlroy 3.9%
$7,997,787 Vol.
$7,997,787 Vol.
Aaron Rai
60%
Jon Rahm
22%
Matti Schmid
8%
Rory McIlroy
4%
Alex Smalley
3%
Justin Thomas
3%
Nick Taylor
2%
Ludvig Aberg
2%
Xander Schauffele
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions Aaron Rai as the frontrunner for the 2026 PGA Championship, reflecting his recent PGA Tour form and strong season-long results entering the major. Jon Rahm draws the next tier of implied probability due to his proven major pedigree and consistent contention in high-stakes events. The broad distribution across the rest of the field highlights golf's inherent unpredictability, where course conditions at the host venue, weather variables, player health, and head-to-head historical matchups can rapidly alter outcomes. This pricing captures crowd-sourced assessment of current rankings, recent momentum, and situational factors typical for PGA Championship fields.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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