With the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club entering its final round, trader consensus reflects a tightly bunched leaderboard where Jon Rahm, Alex Smalley, and Ludvig Åberg hold the strongest implied probabilities to close out the major. Recent rounds have highlighted Smalley's steady ball-striking and putting under pressure, while Rahm's power off the tee and Åberg's consistent approach play have kept all three within striking distance of the lead. Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele trail in the pricing due to solid but not dominant positioning after three rounds, with course conditions at the Pennsylvania venue favoring accuracy over distance on the back nine. This setup underscores how small swings in scoring or momentum on Sunday could shift outcomes among the top contenders in a wide-open final-day scenario.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJon Rahm 26.6%
Ludvig Aberg 20.2%
Rory McIlroy 16.0%
Alex Smalley 15.5%
$6,835,653 Vol.
$6,835,653 Vol.
Jon Rahm
27%
Ludvig Aberg
20%
Rory McIlroy
16%
Alex Smalley
16%
Aaron Rai
7%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Nick Taylor
4%
Cameron Smith
3%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Matti Schmid
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Scottie Scheffler
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Patrick Reed
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Jon Rahm 26.6%
Ludvig Aberg 20.2%
Rory McIlroy 16.0%
Alex Smalley 15.5%
$6,835,653 Vol.
$6,835,653 Vol.
Jon Rahm
27%
Ludvig Aberg
20%
Rory McIlroy
16%
Alex Smalley
16%
Aaron Rai
7%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Nick Taylor
4%
Cameron Smith
3%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Matti Schmid
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Scottie Scheffler
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Patrick Reed
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club entering its final round, trader consensus reflects a tightly bunched leaderboard where Jon Rahm, Alex Smalley, and Ludvig Åberg hold the strongest implied probabilities to close out the major. Recent rounds have highlighted Smalley's steady ball-striking and putting under pressure, while Rahm's power off the tee and Åberg's consistent approach play have kept all three within striking distance of the lead. Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele trail in the pricing due to solid but not dominant positioning after three rounds, with course conditions at the Pennsylvania venue favoring accuracy over distance on the back nine. This setup underscores how small swings in scoring or momentum on Sunday could shift outcomes among the top contenders in a wide-open final-day scenario.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes