The 2026 NFL Week 1 passing touchdowns leader market remains tightly bunched because a single regular-season slate features numerous quarterbacks in favorable offensive environments against defenses that allow volume through the air. Implied probabilities cluster around 3-6.5% for names such as Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert, Jared Goff, Trevor Lawrence, Dak Prescott, Caleb Williams, Jordan Love, and Baker Mayfield, reflecting comparable recent form, play-calling tendencies, and schedule spots rather than any dominant edge. Additional variables like potential weather impacts, early-season rust, and injury designations further compress the field, with the wisdom of crowds pricing in high variance typical of opening-week outcomes where multiple signal-callers can post three-plus scores.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJoe Burrow 7%
Justin Herbert 7%
Jared Goff 7%
Trevor Lawrence 4.5%
Joe Burrow
7%
Justin Herbert
7%
Jared Goff
7%
Trevor Lawrence
5%
Dak Prescott
5%
Caleb Williams
5%
Jordan Love
5%
Baker Mayfield
5%
Josh Allen
3%
Geno Smith
3%
Lamar Jackson
3%
Deshaun Watson
3%
Aaron Rodgers
3%
C.J. Stroud
3%
Daniel Jones
3%
Cam Ward
3%
Bo Nix
3%
Patrick Mahomes
3%
Kirk Cousins
3%
Jalen Hurts
3%
Jaxson Dart
3%
Jayden Daniels
3%
Kyler Murray
3%
Bryce Young
3%
Tyler Shough
3%
Kyle Allen
3%
Malik Willis
3%
Kyle McCord
3%
Cade Klubnik
3%
Tyler Huntley
3%
Joe Flacco
3%
Shedeur Sanders
3%
Mason Rudolph
3%
Davis Mills
3%
Anthony Richardson Sr.
3%
Quinn Ewers
3%
Mitchell Trubisky
3%
Jarrett Stidham
3%
Justin Fields
3%
Fernando Mendoza
3%
Trey Lance
3%
Sam Howell
3%
Andy Dalton
3%
Jameis Winston
3%
Marcus Mariota
3%
Tyson Bagent
3%
Joshua Dobbs
3%
Tyrod Taylor
3%
J.J. McCarthy
3%
Tua Tagovailoa
3%
Michael Penix Jr.
3%
Kenny Pickett
3%
Spencer Rattler
3%
Jalon Daniels
3%
Jacoby Brissett
3%
Gardner Minshew II
3%
Stetson Bennett IV
3%
Drake Maye
<1%
Tommy DeVito
<1%
Matthew Stafford
<1%
Mac Jones
<1%
Sam Darnold
<1%
Drew Lock
<1%
Brock Purdy
47%
Joe Burrow 7%
Justin Herbert 7%
Jared Goff 7%
Trevor Lawrence 4.5%
Joe Burrow
7%
Justin Herbert
7%
Jared Goff
7%
Trevor Lawrence
5%
Dak Prescott
5%
Caleb Williams
5%
Jordan Love
5%
Baker Mayfield
5%
Josh Allen
3%
Geno Smith
3%
Lamar Jackson
3%
Deshaun Watson
3%
Aaron Rodgers
3%
C.J. Stroud
3%
Daniel Jones
3%
Cam Ward
3%
Bo Nix
3%
Patrick Mahomes
3%
Kirk Cousins
3%
Jalen Hurts
3%
Jaxson Dart
3%
Jayden Daniels
3%
Kyler Murray
3%
Bryce Young
3%
Tyler Shough
3%
Kyle Allen
3%
Malik Willis
3%
Kyle McCord
3%
Cade Klubnik
3%
Tyler Huntley
3%
Joe Flacco
3%
Shedeur Sanders
3%
Mason Rudolph
3%
Davis Mills
3%
Anthony Richardson Sr.
3%
Quinn Ewers
3%
Mitchell Trubisky
3%
Jarrett Stidham
3%
Justin Fields
3%
Fernando Mendoza
3%
Trey Lance
3%
Sam Howell
3%
Andy Dalton
3%
Jameis Winston
3%
Marcus Mariota
3%
Tyson Bagent
3%
Joshua Dobbs
3%
Tyrod Taylor
3%
J.J. McCarthy
3%
Tua Tagovailoa
3%
Michael Penix Jr.
3%
Kenny Pickett
3%
Spencer Rattler
3%
Jalon Daniels
3%
Jacoby Brissett
3%
Gardner Minshew II
3%
Stetson Bennett IV
3%
Drake Maye
<1%
Tommy DeVito
<1%
Matthew Stafford
<1%
Mac Jones
<1%
Sam Darnold
<1%
Drew Lock
<1%
Brock Purdy
47%
Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 NFL Week 1 passing touchdowns leader market remains tightly bunched because a single regular-season slate features numerous quarterbacks in favorable offensive environments against defenses that allow volume through the air. Implied probabilities cluster around 3-6.5% for names such as Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert, Jared Goff, Trevor Lawrence, Dak Prescott, Caleb Williams, Jordan Love, and Baker Mayfield, reflecting comparable recent form, play-calling tendencies, and schedule spots rather than any dominant edge. Additional variables like potential weather impacts, early-season rust, and injury designations further compress the field, with the wisdom of crowds pricing in high variance typical of opening-week outcomes where multiple signal-callers can post three-plus scores.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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