Trader sentiment for the second-best AI lab by end of November shows a tightly contested field, with multiple outcomes and "Other" each carrying 50% implied probability alongside Google at 39.5%. This reflects intense competition among artificial intelligence developers where rapid large language model releases, benchmark gains, and scaling infrastructure create shifting advantages. Meta at 25.0% and Anthropic at 19.0% trail the leaders due to differences in model capabilities, talent acquisition, and compute access, while lower odds for OpenAI at 8.9% and others underscore how recent technical milestones and competitive positioning drive aggregated trader views. Upcoming model updates or capability demonstrations remain key swing factors in this uncertain environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGoogle 40%
Meta 25%
Anthropic 19%
OpenAI 8.9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
40%
Meta
25%
Anthropic
19%
OpenAI
9%
Alibaba
7%
Moonshot
6%
SpaceXAI
5%
Baidu
3%
Z.ai
3%
Xiaomi
1%
DeepSeek
1%
ByteDance
1%
Thinky
1%
Meituan
1%
StepFun
1%
Nvidia
1%
MiniMax
1%
Mistral
1%
Microsoft
1%
Tencent
1%
Amazon
<1%
Google 40%
Meta 25%
Anthropic 19%
OpenAI 8.9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
$2,695 Vol.
40%
Meta
$916 Vol.
25%
Anthropic
$842 Vol.
19%
OpenAI
$192 Vol.
9%
Alibaba
$200 Vol.
7%
Moonshot
$286 Vol.
6%
SpaceXAI
$187 Vol.
5%
Baidu
$187 Vol.
3%
Z.ai
$187 Vol.
3%
Xiaomi
$187 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$181 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$197 Vol.
1%
Thinky
$187 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$187 Vol.
1%
StepFun
$181 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$187 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$187 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$181 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$181 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$196 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$191 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment for the second-best AI lab by end of November shows a tightly contested field, with multiple outcomes and "Other" each carrying 50% implied probability alongside Google at 39.5%. This reflects intense competition among artificial intelligence developers where rapid large language model releases, benchmark gains, and scaling infrastructure create shifting advantages. Meta at 25.0% and Anthropic at 19.0% trail the leaders due to differences in model capabilities, talent acquisition, and compute access, while lower odds for OpenAI at 8.9% and others underscore how recent technical milestones and competitive positioning drive aggregated trader views. Upcoming model updates or capability demonstrations remain key swing factors in this uncertain environment.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
Volume
$7,940Date de fin
1 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment for the second-best AI lab by end of November shows a tightly contested field, with multiple outcomes and "Other" each carrying 50% implied probability alongside Google at 39.5%. This reflects intense competition among artificial intelligence developers where rapid large language model releases, benchmark gains, and scaling infrastructure create shifting advantages. Meta at 25.0% and Anthropic at 19.0% trail the leaders due to differences in model capabilities, talent acquisition, and compute access, while lower odds for OpenAI at 8.9% and others underscore how recent technical milestones and competitive positioning drive aggregated trader views. Upcoming model updates or capability demonstrations remain key swing factors in this uncertain environment.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$7,940Date de fin
1 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the second-best AI lab by end of November shows a tightly contested field, with multiple outcomes and "Other" each carrying 50% implied probability alongside Google at 39.5%. This reflects intense competition among artificial intelligence developers where rapid large language model releases, benchmark gains, and scaling infrastructure create shifting advantages. Meta at 25.0% and Anthropic at 19.0% trail the leaders due to differences in model capabilities, talent acquisition, and compute access, while lower odds for OpenAI at 8.9% and others underscore how recent technical milestones and competitive positioning drive aggregated trader views. Upcoming model updates or capability demonstrations remain key swing factors in this uncertain environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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