The closely matched market prices reflect intense competition for second place on Text Arena’s math leaderboard, where Anthropic models currently dominate top scores through superior multi-step reasoning and agentic capabilities. Chinese labs including Z.ai (GLM series), Moonshot (Kimi variants), Alibaba (Qwen), ByteDance, and MiniMax have posted strong recent benchmark results on AIME, FrontierMath, and related evals, narrowing gaps with open-weight releases and targeted optimizations. Google’s Gemini updates and OpenAI’s GPT-5.x iterations provide additional swing factors, while lower odds for Western labs like Meta, Mistral, and Microsoft highlight slower recent math-specific gains. With November resolution weeks away, fresh model drops or leaderboard shifts from ongoing benchmark refreshes could quickly reorder the field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMistral 31%
Google 29%
SpaceXAI 26%
Z.ai 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
Mistral
31%
29%
SpaceXAI
26%
Z.ai
26%
MiniMax
26%
ByteDance
26%
Baidu
25%
Xiaomi
25%
StepFun
25%
Alibaba
25%
Meta
25%
Nvidia
25%
Meituan
24%
Anthropic
18%
Thinky
14%
Moonshot
12%
OpenAI
12%
Microsoft
12%
DeepSeek
10%
Tencent
8%
Amazon
8%
Mistral 31%
Google 29%
SpaceXAI 26%
Z.ai 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
Mistral
$33 Vol.
31%
$33 Vol.
29%
SpaceXAI
$33 Vol.
26%
Z.ai
$33 Vol.
26%
MiniMax
$33 Vol.
26%
ByteDance
$33 Vol.
26%
Baidu
$33 Vol.
25%
Xiaomi
$33 Vol.
25%
StepFun
$33 Vol.
25%
Alibaba
$33 Vol.
25%
Meta
$33 Vol.
25%
Nvidia
$33 Vol.
25%
Meituan
$33 Vol.
24%
Anthropic
$33 Vol.
18%
Thinky
$33 Vol.
14%
Moonshot
$77 Vol.
12%
OpenAI
$33 Vol.
12%
Microsoft
$77 Vol.
12%
DeepSeek
$104 Vol.
10%
Tencent
$33 Vol.
8%
Amazon
$134 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched market prices reflect intense competition for second place on Text Arena’s math leaderboard, where Anthropic models currently dominate top scores through superior multi-step reasoning and agentic capabilities. Chinese labs including Z.ai (GLM series), Moonshot (Kimi variants), Alibaba (Qwen), ByteDance, and MiniMax have posted strong recent benchmark results on AIME, FrontierMath, and related evals, narrowing gaps with open-weight releases and targeted optimizations. Google’s Gemini updates and OpenAI’s GPT-5.x iterations provide additional swing factors, while lower odds for Western labs like Meta, Mistral, and Microsoft highlight slower recent math-specific gains. With November resolution weeks away, fresh model drops or leaderboard shifts from ongoing benchmark refreshes could quickly reorder the field.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Volume
$947Date de fin
1 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched market prices reflect intense competition for second place on Text Arena’s math leaderboard, where Anthropic models currently dominate top scores through superior multi-step reasoning and agentic capabilities. Chinese labs including Z.ai (GLM series), Moonshot (Kimi variants), Alibaba (Qwen), ByteDance, and MiniMax have posted strong recent benchmark results on AIME, FrontierMath, and related evals, narrowing gaps with open-weight releases and targeted optimizations. Google’s Gemini updates and OpenAI’s GPT-5.x iterations provide additional swing factors, while lower odds for Western labs like Meta, Mistral, and Microsoft highlight slower recent math-specific gains. With November resolution weeks away, fresh model drops or leaderboard shifts from ongoing benchmark refreshes could quickly reorder the field.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$947Date de fin
1 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market prices reflect intense competition for second place on Text Arena’s math leaderboard, where Anthropic models currently dominate top scores through superior multi-step reasoning and agentic capabilities. Chinese labs including Z.ai (GLM series), Moonshot (Kimi variants), Alibaba (Qwen), ByteDance, and MiniMax have posted strong recent benchmark results on AIME, FrontierMath, and related evals, narrowing gaps with open-weight releases and targeted optimizations. Google’s Gemini updates and OpenAI’s GPT-5.x iterations provide additional swing factors, while lower odds for Western labs like Meta, Mistral, and Microsoft highlight slower recent math-specific gains. With November resolution weeks away, fresh model drops or leaderboard shifts from ongoing benchmark refreshes could quickly reorder the field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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