The Democratic Party of Korea maintains a commanding lead in the June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections because President Lee Jae-myung’s approval rating near 60 percent and consistent polling advantages over the People Power Party have translated into structural dominance ahead of the concurrent nationwide local elections. The DP’s organizational strength, combined with voter momentum from its 2025 presidential victory, positions it to capture nearly all contested seats. Traders assign only slim odds to the PPP or smaller parties because those groups trail significantly in national surveys and lack comparable turnout infrastructure in key districts. Late shifts in turnout among conservative strongholds or unforeseen campaign events remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though current evidence indicates limited scope for reversal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlections partielles en Corée du Sud : vainqueur du parti
Élections partielles en Corée du Sud : vainqueur du parti
Parti démocrate de Corée (DP) 97.3%
Parti du pouvoir du peuple (PPP) 3.9%
Parti Reconstruire la Corée (RKP) <1%
Parti progressiste (PP) <1%
$44,223 Vol.
$44,223 Vol.
3 juin 2026
Parti du pouvoir du peuple (PPP)
4%
Parti démocrate de Corée (DP)
97%
Parti Reconstruire la Corée (RKP)
<1%
Parti progressiste (PP)
<1%
Parti de la réforme (RP)
<1%
Parti démocrate de Corée (DP) 97.3%
Parti du pouvoir du peuple (PPP) 3.9%
Parti Reconstruire la Corée (RKP) <1%
Parti progressiste (PP) <1%
$44,223 Vol.
$44,223 Vol.
3 juin 2026
Parti du pouvoir du peuple (PPP)
$1,902 Vol.
4%
Parti démocrate de Corée (DP)
$2,750 Vol.
97%
Parti Reconstruire la Corée (RKP)
$16,585 Vol.
<1%
Parti progressiste (PP)
$1,113 Vol.
<1%
Parti de la réforme (RP)
$21,873 Vol.
<1%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea maintains a commanding lead in the June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections because President Lee Jae-myung’s approval rating near 60 percent and consistent polling advantages over the People Power Party have translated into structural dominance ahead of the concurrent nationwide local elections. The DP’s organizational strength, combined with voter momentum from its 2025 presidential victory, positions it to capture nearly all contested seats. Traders assign only slim odds to the PPP or smaller parties because those groups trail significantly in national surveys and lack comparable turnout infrastructure in key districts. Late shifts in turnout among conservative strongholds or unforeseen campaign events remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though current evidence indicates limited scope for reversal.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Marché ouvert : Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Volume
$44,223Date de fin
3 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea maintains a commanding lead in the June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections because President Lee Jae-myung’s approval rating near 60 percent and consistent polling advantages over the People Power Party have translated into structural dominance ahead of the concurrent nationwide local elections. The DP’s organizational strength, combined with voter momentum from its 2025 presidential victory, positions it to capture nearly all contested seats. Traders assign only slim odds to the PPP or smaller parties because those groups trail significantly in national surveys and lack comparable turnout infrastructure in key districts. Late shifts in turnout among conservative strongholds or unforeseen campaign events remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though current evidence indicates limited scope for reversal.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Volume
$44,223Date de fin
3 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea maintains a commanding lead in the June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections because President Lee Jae-myung’s approval rating near 60 percent and consistent polling advantages over the People Power Party have translated into structural dominance ahead of the concurrent nationwide local elections. The DP’s organizational strength, combined with voter momentum from its 2025 presidential victory, positions it to capture nearly all contested seats. Traders assign only slim odds to the PPP or smaller parties because those groups trail significantly in national surveys and lack comparable turnout infrastructure in key districts. Late shifts in turnout among conservative strongholds or unforeseen campaign events remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though current evidence indicates limited scope for reversal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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