The Democratic Party of Korea maintains a commanding lead in the June 2026 by-elections due to its control of both the presidency and National Assembly following Lee Jae-myung’s 2025 victory, combined with persistent voter backlash against the People Power Party’s association with former President Yoon Suk-yeol’s martial law declaration and subsequent impeachment. Recent polling shows the ruling party entering these contests with approval ratings near 60 percent and structural advantages in most districts, leaving the PPP and smaller parties with limited pathways to meaningful gains. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing anticipates a broad Democratic sweep unless unforeseen developments, such as major policy missteps or internal party divisions ahead of the vote, materially shift momentum in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlections partielles en Corée du Sud : vainqueur du parti
Parti démocrate de Corée (DP) 97.4%
Parti du pouvoir du peuple (PPP) 2.7%
Parti Reconstruire la Corée (RKP) <1%
Parti progressiste (PP) <1%
$44,225 Vol.
$44,225 Vol.

Parti du pouvoir du peuple (PPP)
3%

Parti démocrate de Corée (DP)
97%

Parti Reconstruire la Corée (RKP)
<1%

Parti progressiste (PP)
<1%

Parti de la réforme (RP)
<1%
Parti démocrate de Corée (DP) 97.4%
Parti du pouvoir du peuple (PPP) 2.7%
Parti Reconstruire la Corée (RKP) <1%
Parti progressiste (PP) <1%
$44,225 Vol.
$44,225 Vol.

Parti du pouvoir du peuple (PPP)
3%

Parti démocrate de Corée (DP)
97%

Parti Reconstruire la Corée (RKP)
<1%

Parti progressiste (PP)
<1%

Parti de la réforme (RP)
<1%
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Marché ouvert : Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea maintains a commanding lead in the June 2026 by-elections due to its control of both the presidency and National Assembly following Lee Jae-myung’s 2025 victory, combined with persistent voter backlash against the People Power Party’s association with former President Yoon Suk-yeol’s martial law declaration and subsequent impeachment. Recent polling shows the ruling party entering these contests with approval ratings near 60 percent and structural advantages in most districts, leaving the PPP and smaller parties with limited pathways to meaningful gains. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing anticipates a broad Democratic sweep unless unforeseen developments, such as major policy missteps or internal party divisions ahead of the vote, materially shift momentum in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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