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Finance·S&P 500

Qu'est-ce qui va frapper le S&P 500 (SPX) d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?

icon for Qu'est-ce qui va frapper le S&P 500 (SPX) d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
Finance·S&P 500

Qu'est-ce qui va frapper le S&P 500 (SPX) d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?

juin 30

déc. 31

juin 30

déc. 31

$182,179 Vol.

30 juin 2026
Polymarket

$182,179 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 8 000 $

$17,526 Vol.

14%

↑ $7,850

$7 Vol.

31%

↑ 7 700 $

$13,724 Vol.

30%

↑ 7 600 $

$65 Vol.

57%

↓ 7 100 $

$316 Vol.

36%

↓ $6,900

$716 Vol.

24%

↓ $6,700

$970 Vol.

19%

↓ $6,500

$702 Vol.

12%

↓ 6 300 $

$30,600 Vol.

11%

↓ 6 000 $

$36,941 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 index trades around 7,445 as of May 13, 2026, having touched fresh record highs above 7,460 intraday amid a 8.6% year-to-date gain fueled by resilient Q1 earnings growth, particularly in technology, and sustained AI-driven optimism. Hotter-than-expected April producer price index data, released this week, has tempered aggressive Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, with markets now pricing a higher bar for June easing as inflation remains sticky above target. Treasury yields have edged up in response, pressuring valuations, yet broad equity momentum persists. Traders eye May CPI on June 10 and the FOMC meeting June 16-17 as pivotal, alongside ongoing estimate revisions; Wall Street's 2026 year-end targets average 7,550, suggesting modest upside potential by quarter-end absent major shocks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$182,179
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 9:32 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 index trades around 7,445 as of May 13, 2026, having touched fresh record highs above 7,460 intraday amid a 8.6% year-to-date gain fueled by resilient Q1 earnings growth, particularly in technology, and sustained AI-driven optimism. Hotter-than-expected April producer price index data, released this week, has tempered aggressive Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, with markets now pricing a higher bar for June easing as inflation remains sticky above target. Treasury yields have edged up in response, pressuring valuations, yet broad equity momentum persists. Traders eye May CPI on June 10 and the FOMC meeting June 16-17 as pivotal, alongside ongoing estimate revisions; Wall Street's 2026 year-end targets average 7,550, suggesting modest upside potential by quarter-end absent major shocks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$182,179
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 9:32 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Qu'est-ce qui va frapper le S&P 500 (SPX) d'ici la fin du mois de juin ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 17 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « ↑ 7 450 $ » à 100%, suivi de « ↑ 7 300 $ » à 100%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Qu'est-ce qui va frapper le S&P 500 (SPX) d'ici la fin du mois de juin ? » a généré $182.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 7, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Qu'est-ce qui va frapper le S&P 500 (SPX) d'ici la fin du mois de juin ? », parcourez les 17 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qu'est-ce qui va frapper le S&P 500 (SPX) d'ici la fin du mois de juin ? » est « ↑ 7 450 $ » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « ↑ 7 300 $ » à 100%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qu'est-ce qui va frapper le S&P 500 (SPX) d'ici la fin du mois de juin ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.