The Swiss National Bank’s September 24 monetary policy assessment is priced by traders at a 95.3% implied probability of no change to the 0% policy rate, reflecting Switzerland’s contained inflation trajectory and stable medium-term outlook. Recent data show headline inflation near 0.6–0.8% year-over-year, still well inside the 0–2% price-stability range, while core measures remain subdued despite energy-driven upside. The SNB’s June conditional forecast projected averages of 0.6% for 2026 and 2027 assuming unchanged policy, and officials have repeatedly described medium-term pressures as virtually unaltered. With the Swiss franc providing an additional buffer and economic growth forecasts modest, the market-implied odds align with the consensus view that conditions remain appropriate without immediate adjustment. A sharper-than-expected inflation spike or rapid franc appreciation could still prompt reconsideration, though such outcomes appear low-probability ahead of the meeting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPas de changement 95.2%
Augmentation de 25 points de base 2.5%
Baisse de 25 points de base 1.9%
Baisse de plus de 50 pdb 1.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
Hausse de plus de 50 points de base
2%
Augmentation de 25 points de base
2%
Pas de changement
95%
Baisse de 25 points de base
2%
Baisse de plus de 50 pdb
2%
Pas de changement 95.2%
Augmentation de 25 points de base 2.5%
Baisse de 25 points de base 1.9%
Baisse de plus de 50 pdb 1.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
Hausse de plus de 50 points de base
$441 Vol.
2%
Augmentation de 25 points de base
$713 Vol.
2%
Pas de changement
$5,231 Vol.
95%
Baisse de 25 points de base
$361 Vol.
2%
Baisse de plus de 50 pdb
$381 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.The Swiss National Bank’s September 24 monetary policy assessment is priced by traders at a 95.3% implied probability of no change to the 0% policy rate, reflecting Switzerland’s contained inflation trajectory and stable medium-term outlook. Recent data show headline inflation near 0.6–0.8% year-over-year, still well inside the 0–2% price-stability range, while core measures remain subdued despite energy-driven upside. The SNB’s June conditional forecast projected averages of 0.6% for 2026 and 2027 assuming unchanged policy, and officials have repeatedly described medium-term pressures as virtually unaltered. With the Swiss franc providing an additional buffer and economic growth forecasts modest, the market-implied odds align with the consensus view that conditions remain appropriate without immediate adjustment. A sharper-than-expected inflation spike or rapid franc appreciation could still prompt reconsideration, though such outcomes appear low-probability ahead of the meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ET
Volume
$7,126Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.The Swiss National Bank’s September 24 monetary policy assessment is priced by traders at a 95.3% implied probability of no change to the 0% policy rate, reflecting Switzerland’s contained inflation trajectory and stable medium-term outlook. Recent data show headline inflation near 0.6–0.8% year-over-year, still well inside the 0–2% price-stability range, while core measures remain subdued despite energy-driven upside. The SNB’s June conditional forecast projected averages of 0.6% for 2026 and 2027 assuming unchanged policy, and officials have repeatedly described medium-term pressures as virtually unaltered. With the Swiss franc providing an additional buffer and economic growth forecasts modest, the market-implied odds align with the consensus view that conditions remain appropriate without immediate adjustment. A sharper-than-expected inflation spike or rapid franc appreciation could still prompt reconsideration, though such outcomes appear low-probability ahead of the meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Volume
$7,126Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Swiss National Bank’s September 24 monetary policy assessment is priced by traders at a 95.3% implied probability of no change to the 0% policy rate, reflecting Switzerland’s contained inflation trajectory and stable medium-term outlook. Recent data show headline inflation near 0.6–0.8% year-over-year, still well inside the 0–2% price-stability range, while core measures remain subdued despite energy-driven upside. The SNB’s June conditional forecast projected averages of 0.6% for 2026 and 2027 assuming unchanged policy, and officials have repeatedly described medium-term pressures as virtually unaltered. With the Swiss franc providing an additional buffer and economic growth forecasts modest, the market-implied odds align with the consensus view that conditions remain appropriate without immediate adjustment. A sharper-than-expected inflation spike or rapid franc appreciation could still prompt reconsideration, though such outcomes appear low-probability ahead of the meeting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes