Chinese AI labs currently drive the fragmented odds for third place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by end of November, with Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Xiaomi, and Alibaba clustered in the top lab ranks through recent large language model releases emphasizing mathematical reasoning. Moonshot’s Kimi series and Z.ai’s GLM-5 models post competitive Elo scores in head-to-head math evaluations, while DeepSeek’s V4 variants deliver strong benchmark results at lower cost. This creates a wide field of contenders, reflected in the 25–50% implied probabilities across multiple names and “Other.” Western labs trail in this specific category despite overall strength. New model drops or fine-tunes before November could shift lab positioning on the live leaderboard.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourStepFun 36%
DeepSeek 30.0%
Meituan 27%
Meta 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
StepFun
36%
DeepSeek
30%
Meituan
27%
Meta
26%
Nvidia
26%
SpaceXAI
25%
Baidu
25%
Xiaomi
25%
Moonshot
25%
Microsoft
25%
Tencent
25%
Thinky
25%
19%
Z.ai
15%
Anthropic
14%
OpenAI
14%
Mistral
14%
Bytedance
14%
Amazon
8%
Alibaba
4%
MiniMax
16%
StepFun 36%
DeepSeek 30.0%
Meituan 27%
Meta 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
StepFun
$128 Vol.
36%
DeepSeek
$33 Vol.
30%
Meituan
$33 Vol.
27%
Meta
$33 Vol.
26%
Nvidia
$33 Vol.
26%
SpaceXAI
$33 Vol.
25%
Baidu
$33 Vol.
25%
Xiaomi
$33 Vol.
25%
Moonshot
$33 Vol.
25%
Microsoft
$33 Vol.
25%
Tencent
$33 Vol.
25%
Thinky
$33 Vol.
25%
$33 Vol.
19%
Z.ai
$33 Vol.
15%
Anthropic
$33 Vol.
14%
OpenAI
$33 Vol.
14%
Mistral
$33 Vol.
14%
Bytedance
$33 Vol.
14%
Amazon
$54 Vol.
8%
Alibaba
$33 Vol.
4%
MiniMax
$45 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Chinese AI labs currently drive the fragmented odds for third place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by end of November, with Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Xiaomi, and Alibaba clustered in the top lab ranks through recent large language model releases emphasizing mathematical reasoning. Moonshot’s Kimi series and Z.ai’s GLM-5 models post competitive Elo scores in head-to-head math evaluations, while DeepSeek’s V4 variants deliver strong benchmark results at lower cost. This creates a wide field of contenders, reflected in the 25–50% implied probabilities across multiple names and “Other.” Western labs trail in this specific category despite overall strength. New model drops or fine-tunes before November could shift lab positioning on the live leaderboard.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Volume
$811Date de fin
1 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Chinese AI labs currently drive the fragmented odds for third place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by end of November, with Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Xiaomi, and Alibaba clustered in the top lab ranks through recent large language model releases emphasizing mathematical reasoning. Moonshot’s Kimi series and Z.ai’s GLM-5 models post competitive Elo scores in head-to-head math evaluations, while DeepSeek’s V4 variants deliver strong benchmark results at lower cost. This creates a wide field of contenders, reflected in the 25–50% implied probabilities across multiple names and “Other.” Western labs trail in this specific category despite overall strength. New model drops or fine-tunes before November could shift lab positioning on the live leaderboard.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$811Date de fin
1 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Chinese AI labs currently drive the fragmented odds for third place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by end of November, with Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Xiaomi, and Alibaba clustered in the top lab ranks through recent large language model releases emphasizing mathematical reasoning. Moonshot’s Kimi series and Z.ai’s GLM-5 models post competitive Elo scores in head-to-head math evaluations, while DeepSeek’s V4 variants deliver strong benchmark results at lower cost. This creates a wide field of contenders, reflected in the 25–50% implied probabilities across multiple names and “Other.” Western labs trail in this specific category despite overall strength. New model drops or fine-tunes before November could shift lab positioning on the live leaderboard.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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